North Carolina’s 4th congressional district, encompassing Durham, Orange, and portions of Wake and Chatham counties, carries a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+23 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Valerie Foushee secured renomination in a narrow March 2026 Democratic primary victory over challenger Nida Allam, preserving party unity ahead of the November general election. Republican nominee Mahesh Ganorkar faces structural barriers including limited fundraising and the district’s progressive voter base centered on research institutions and urban areas. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome at 94.5% tracks the seat’s safe Democratic ratings from forecasting outlets and historical performance, though late developments such as a major candidate scandal, health event, or national political realignment could theoretically alter the trajectory before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNC-04 House Election Winner
NC-04 House Election Winner
$45,730 ปริมาณ
$45,730 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
3%
$45,730 ปริมาณ
$45,730 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,801 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$30,929 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 4th congressional district, encompassing Durham, Orange, and portions of Wake and Chatham counties, carries a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+23 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Valerie Foushee secured renomination in a narrow March 2026 Democratic primary victory over challenger Nida Allam, preserving party unity ahead of the November general election. Republican nominee Mahesh Ganorkar faces structural barriers including limited fundraising and the district’s progressive voter base centered on research institutions and urban areas. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome at 94.5% tracks the seat’s safe Democratic ratings from forecasting outlets and historical performance, though late developments such as a major candidate scandal, health event, or national political realignment could theoretically alter the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$45,730วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 4th congressional district, encompassing Durham, Orange, and portions of Wake and Chatham counties, carries a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+23 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Valerie Foushee secured renomination in a narrow March 2026 Democratic primary victory over challenger Nida Allam, preserving party unity ahead of the November general election. Republican nominee Mahesh Ganorkar faces structural barriers including limited fundraising and the district’s progressive voter base centered on research institutions and urban areas. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome at 94.5% tracks the seat’s safe Democratic ratings from forecasting outlets and historical performance, though late developments such as a major candidate scandal, health event, or national political realignment could theoretically alter the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$45,730วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina’s 4th congressional district, encompassing Durham, Orange, and portions of Wake and Chatham counties, carries a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+23 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Valerie Foushee secured renomination in a narrow March 2026 Democratic primary victory over challenger Nida Allam, preserving party unity ahead of the November general election. Republican nominee Mahesh Ganorkar faces structural barriers including limited fundraising and the district’s progressive voter base centered on research institutions and urban areas. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome at 94.5% tracks the seat’s safe Democratic ratings from forecasting outlets and historical performance, though late developments such as a major candidate scandal, health event, or national political realignment could theoretically alter the trajectory before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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