Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination for North Carolina's 4th congressional district after a narrow March primary victory over challenger Nida Allam, with Allam conceding following a recount window. The district remains a reliably Democratic seat under the current map, where the incumbent holds clear structural advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and voter base in urban and suburban areas around Durham and Chapel Hill. Traders have priced the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent to win the November general election against Republican Mahesh Ganorkar and Libertarian Guy Meilleur, reflecting the seat's partisan baseline and limited recent shifts in polling or campaign dynamics. Factors that could narrow this gap include a major scandal, health event, or significant national political realignment before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNC-04 House Election Winner
NC-04 House Election Winner
$16,771 ปริมาณ
$16,771 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$16,771 ปริมาณ
$16,771 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,132 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$5,639 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination for North Carolina's 4th congressional district after a narrow March primary victory over challenger Nida Allam, with Allam conceding following a recount window. The district remains a reliably Democratic seat under the current map, where the incumbent holds clear structural advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and voter base in urban and suburban areas around Durham and Chapel Hill. Traders have priced the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent to win the November general election against Republican Mahesh Ganorkar and Libertarian Guy Meilleur, reflecting the seat's partisan baseline and limited recent shifts in polling or campaign dynamics. Factors that could narrow this gap include a major scandal, health event, or significant national political realignment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,771วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination for North Carolina's 4th congressional district after a narrow March primary victory over challenger Nida Allam, with Allam conceding following a recount window. The district remains a reliably Democratic seat under the current map, where the incumbent holds clear structural advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and voter base in urban and suburban areas around Durham and Chapel Hill. Traders have priced the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent to win the November general election against Republican Mahesh Ganorkar and Libertarian Guy Meilleur, reflecting the seat's partisan baseline and limited recent shifts in polling or campaign dynamics. Factors that could narrow this gap include a major scandal, health event, or significant national political realignment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,771วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination for North Carolina's 4th congressional district after a narrow March primary victory over challenger Nida Allam, with Allam conceding following a recount window. The district remains a reliably Democratic seat under the current map, where the incumbent holds clear structural advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and voter base in urban and suburban areas around Durham and Chapel Hill. Traders have priced the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent to win the November general election against Republican Mahesh Ganorkar and Libertarian Guy Meilleur, reflecting the seat's partisan baseline and limited recent shifts in polling or campaign dynamics. Factors that could narrow this gap include a major scandal, health event, or significant national political realignment before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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