Incumbent Sarah Elfreth secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 75-78% of the vote against several challengers, reflecting unified party support in Maryland’s 3rd congressional district. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on its suburban composition across Howard, Anne Arundel, and Carroll counties and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Republican nominee Bernard Flowers emerged from a fragmented primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising, name recognition, and voter registration. Traders price the Democratic outcome near 95% because no major developments—such as scandals, redistricting changes, or national shifts—have altered the district’s partisan baseline ahead of the November general election. Late surprises like health issues or unexpected turnout could narrow margins but remain low-probability events.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMD-03 House Election Winner
MD-03 House Election Winner
$45,762 ปริมาณ
$45,762 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
5%
$45,762 ปริมาณ
$45,762 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$20,975 ปริมาณ
96%
Republican Party
$24,788 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Sarah Elfreth secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 75-78% of the vote against several challengers, reflecting unified party support in Maryland’s 3rd congressional district. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on its suburban composition across Howard, Anne Arundel, and Carroll counties and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Republican nominee Bernard Flowers emerged from a fragmented primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising, name recognition, and voter registration. Traders price the Democratic outcome near 95% because no major developments—such as scandals, redistricting changes, or national shifts—have altered the district’s partisan baseline ahead of the November general election. Late surprises like health issues or unexpected turnout could narrow margins but remain low-probability events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$45,762วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Sarah Elfreth secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 75-78% of the vote against several challengers, reflecting unified party support in Maryland’s 3rd congressional district. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on its suburban composition across Howard, Anne Arundel, and Carroll counties and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Republican nominee Bernard Flowers emerged from a fragmented primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising, name recognition, and voter registration. Traders price the Democratic outcome near 95% because no major developments—such as scandals, redistricting changes, or national shifts—have altered the district’s partisan baseline ahead of the November general election. Late surprises like health issues or unexpected turnout could narrow margins but remain low-probability events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$45,762วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sarah Elfreth secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 75-78% of the vote against several challengers, reflecting unified party support in Maryland’s 3rd congressional district. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on its suburban composition across Howard, Anne Arundel, and Carroll counties and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Republican nominee Bernard Flowers emerged from a fragmented primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising, name recognition, and voter registration. Traders price the Democratic outcome near 95% because no major developments—such as scandals, redistricting changes, or national shifts—have altered the district’s partisan baseline ahead of the November general election. Late surprises like health issues or unexpected turnout could narrow margins but remain low-probability events.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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