Bob Brooks, a Bethlehem firefighter and union leader, has emerged as the Democratic nominee following a decisive primary win in May 2026, positioning the party strongly against Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie in Pennsylvania’s 7th congressional district. Early general-election polling from spring and summer 2026 shows Brooks ahead by margins of 4 to 9 points, reflecting the district’s evolving voter composition and labor support. These results align with nonpartisan forecasts rating the seat as leaning or likely Democratic. Broader midterm dynamics favoring Democratic House gains have further reinforced trader consensus, though Mackenzie’s incumbency and potential late-cycle shifts in turnout or national conditions remain variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPA-07 House Election Winner
PA-07 House Election Winner
$12,252 ปริมาณ
$12,252 ปริมาณ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
77%
Republican Party
24%
$12,252 ปริมาณ
$12,252 ปริมาณ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,385 ปริมาณ
77%
Republican Party
$868 ปริมาณ
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bob Brooks, a Bethlehem firefighter and union leader, has emerged as the Democratic nominee following a decisive primary win in May 2026, positioning the party strongly against Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie in Pennsylvania’s 7th congressional district. Early general-election polling from spring and summer 2026 shows Brooks ahead by margins of 4 to 9 points, reflecting the district’s evolving voter composition and labor support. These results align with nonpartisan forecasts rating the seat as leaning or likely Democratic. Broader midterm dynamics favoring Democratic House gains have further reinforced trader consensus, though Mackenzie’s incumbency and potential late-cycle shifts in turnout or national conditions remain variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,252วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bob Brooks, a Bethlehem firefighter and union leader, has emerged as the Democratic nominee following a decisive primary win in May 2026, positioning the party strongly against Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie in Pennsylvania’s 7th congressional district. Early general-election polling from spring and summer 2026 shows Brooks ahead by margins of 4 to 9 points, reflecting the district’s evolving voter composition and labor support. These results align with nonpartisan forecasts rating the seat as leaning or likely Democratic. Broader midterm dynamics favoring Democratic House gains have further reinforced trader consensus, though Mackenzie’s incumbency and potential late-cycle shifts in turnout or national conditions remain variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,252วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bob Brooks, a Bethlehem firefighter and union leader, has emerged as the Democratic nominee following a decisive primary win in May 2026, positioning the party strongly against Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie in Pennsylvania’s 7th congressional district. Early general-election polling from spring and summer 2026 shows Brooks ahead by margins of 4 to 9 points, reflecting the district’s evolving voter composition and labor support. These results align with nonpartisan forecasts rating the seat as leaning or likely Democratic. Broader midterm dynamics favoring Democratic House gains have further reinforced trader consensus, though Mackenzie’s incumbency and potential late-cycle shifts in turnout or national conditions remain variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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