Paige Cognetti holds the edge in trader consensus for Pennsylvania’s 8th congressional district because summer 2026 polling showed her leading or tied with incumbent Rob Bresnahan amid his low favorability ratings and attacks over personal stock trades while in office. The Scranton mayor has outraised the freshman Republican in key quarters and benefits from a growing Democratic voter registration advantage in the Lackawanna-Luzerne core of the district. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest a toss-up or lean Republican given the area’s 2024 Trump margin, yet recent internal surveys and Bresnahan’s underwater numbers have sustained Cognetti’s implied probability above 60 percent. A scheduled October 29 debate offers both candidates a final opportunity to shift momentum before early voting begins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Paige Cognetti (D)
63%
Rob Bresnahan (R)
35%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Paige Cognetti (D)
$5,051 ปริมาณ
63%
Rob Bresnahan (R)
$3,274 ปริมาณ
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Paige Cognetti holds the edge in trader consensus for Pennsylvania’s 8th congressional district because summer 2026 polling showed her leading or tied with incumbent Rob Bresnahan amid his low favorability ratings and attacks over personal stock trades while in office. The Scranton mayor has outraised the freshman Republican in key quarters and benefits from a growing Democratic voter registration advantage in the Lackawanna-Luzerne core of the district. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest a toss-up or lean Republican given the area’s 2024 Trump margin, yet recent internal surveys and Bresnahan’s underwater numbers have sustained Cognetti’s implied probability above 60 percent. A scheduled October 29 debate offers both candidates a final opportunity to shift momentum before early voting begins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,326วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Paige Cognetti holds the edge in trader consensus for Pennsylvania’s 8th congressional district because summer 2026 polling showed her leading or tied with incumbent Rob Bresnahan amid his low favorability ratings and attacks over personal stock trades while in office. The Scranton mayor has outraised the freshman Republican in key quarters and benefits from a growing Democratic voter registration advantage in the Lackawanna-Luzerne core of the district. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest a toss-up or lean Republican given the area’s 2024 Trump margin, yet recent internal surveys and Bresnahan’s underwater numbers have sustained Cognetti’s implied probability above 60 percent. A scheduled October 29 debate offers both candidates a final opportunity to shift momentum before early voting begins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,326วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Paige Cognetti holds the edge in trader consensus for Pennsylvania’s 8th congressional district because summer 2026 polling showed her leading or tied with incumbent Rob Bresnahan amid his low favorability ratings and attacks over personal stock trades while in office. The Scranton mayor has outraised the freshman Republican in key quarters and benefits from a growing Democratic voter registration advantage in the Lackawanna-Luzerne core of the district. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest a toss-up or lean Republican given the area’s 2024 Trump margin, yet recent internal surveys and Bresnahan’s underwater numbers have sustained Cognetti’s implied probability above 60 percent. A scheduled October 29 debate offers both candidates a final opportunity to shift momentum before early voting begins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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