Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell leads trader consensus at 69% implied probability to win Missouri's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary, bolstered by his decisive 2024 victory over Cori Bush and typical incumbency advantages in House primaries. Bush, the challenger seeking a comeback, trails at 31.5% despite a recent HIT Strategies poll of likely Democratic voters showing them statistically tied, which traders appear to discount as campaign-commissioned. Bell's challenge yesterday for a multi-debate series signals confidence, while Bush highlights rejecting corporate PAC funds like AIPAC's prior support for Bell. With the August 4 primary months away, fundraising edges, endorsements such as National Nurses United backing Bush, and district turnout among key voting blocs in the plurality-Black St. Louis area will drive shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 4, 2026
Wesley Bell
69%
Cori Bush
31%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 4, 2026
Wesley Bell
$2,925 ปริมาณ
69%
Cori Bush
$2,474 ปริมาณ
31%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell leads trader consensus at 69% implied probability to win Missouri's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary, bolstered by his decisive 2024 victory over Cori Bush and typical incumbency advantages in House primaries. Bush, the challenger seeking a comeback, trails at 31.5% despite a recent HIT Strategies poll of likely Democratic voters showing them statistically tied, which traders appear to discount as campaign-commissioned. Bell's challenge yesterday for a multi-debate series signals confidence, while Bush highlights rejecting corporate PAC funds like AIPAC's prior support for Bell. With the August 4 primary months away, fundraising edges, endorsements such as National Nurses United backing Bush, and district turnout among key voting blocs in the plurality-Black St. Louis area will drive shifts.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,399วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell leads trader consensus at 69% implied probability to win Missouri's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary, bolstered by his decisive 2024 victory over Cori Bush and typical incumbency advantages in House primaries. Bush, the challenger seeking a comeback, trails at 31.5% despite a recent HIT Strategies poll of likely Democratic voters showing them statistically tied, which traders appear to discount as campaign-commissioned. Bell's challenge yesterday for a multi-debate series signals confidence, while Bush highlights rejecting corporate PAC funds like AIPAC's prior support for Bell. With the August 4 primary months away, fundraising edges, endorsements such as National Nurses United backing Bush, and district turnout among key voting blocs in the plurality-Black St. Louis area will drive shifts.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,399วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell leads trader consensus at 69% implied probability to win Missouri's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary, bolstered by his decisive 2024 victory over Cori Bush and typical incumbency advantages in House primaries. Bush, the challenger seeking a comeback, trails at 31.5% despite a recent HIT Strategies poll of likely Democratic voters showing them statistically tied, which traders appear to discount as campaign-commissioned. Bell's challenge yesterday for a multi-debate series signals confidence, while Bush highlights rejecting corporate PAC funds like AIPAC's prior support for Bell. With the August 4 primary months away, fundraising edges, endorsements such as National Nurses United backing Bush, and district turnout among key voting blocs in the plurality-Black St. Louis area will drive shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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