Amanda McKinney holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Washington’s 4th Congressional District because the open seat sits in the state’s most reliably Republican territory, where recent presidential results have favored the GOP by double-digit margins. Her August primary victory consolidated support among Republican voters after incumbent Dan Newhouse retired, aided by a Trump endorsement, substantial fundraising, and super PAC backing that outpaced rivals. Democrat John Duresky advanced as the sole major-party alternative but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have dominated recent House contests. A late scandal, significant shift in national conditions, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though such developments remain low-probability given current fundamentals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWA-04 House Election Winner
WA-04 House Election Winner
$57,658 ปริมาณ
$57,658 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Amanda McKinney (R)
92%
John Duresky (D)
7%
$57,658 ปริมาณ
$57,658 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Amanda McKinney (R)
$30,926 ปริมาณ
92%
John Duresky (D)
$26,732 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Amanda McKinney holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Washington’s 4th Congressional District because the open seat sits in the state’s most reliably Republican territory, where recent presidential results have favored the GOP by double-digit margins. Her August primary victory consolidated support among Republican voters after incumbent Dan Newhouse retired, aided by a Trump endorsement, substantial fundraising, and super PAC backing that outpaced rivals. Democrat John Duresky advanced as the sole major-party alternative but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have dominated recent House contests. A late scandal, significant shift in national conditions, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though such developments remain low-probability given current fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$57,658วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Amanda McKinney holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Washington’s 4th Congressional District because the open seat sits in the state’s most reliably Republican territory, where recent presidential results have favored the GOP by double-digit margins. Her August primary victory consolidated support among Republican voters after incumbent Dan Newhouse retired, aided by a Trump endorsement, substantial fundraising, and super PAC backing that outpaced rivals. Democrat John Duresky advanced as the sole major-party alternative but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have dominated recent House contests. A late scandal, significant shift in national conditions, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though such developments remain low-probability given current fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$57,658วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Amanda McKinney holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Washington’s 4th Congressional District because the open seat sits in the state’s most reliably Republican territory, where recent presidential results have favored the GOP by double-digit margins. Her August primary victory consolidated support among Republican voters after incumbent Dan Newhouse retired, aided by a Trump endorsement, substantial fundraising, and super PAC backing that outpaced rivals. Democrat John Duresky advanced as the sole major-party alternative but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have dominated recent House contests. A late scandal, significant shift in national conditions, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though such developments remain low-probability given current fundamentals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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