Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in August after a close primary victory over Haley Stevens, while Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Recent statewide polling shows El-Sayed holding a narrow lead of 2–7 points among likely voters, fueled by stronger performance among independents, women, and younger voters amid economic concerns and tariff debates. Grand Traverse County, a northern Michigan area with a Republican tilt in recent cycles, remains competitive, yet traders appear to weigh the Democratic nominee’s momentum and the open-seat dynamics in his favor for the county outcome. Minor-party candidates and write-ins register limited support in broader surveys. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for late shifts in turnout or messaging.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
73%
Mike Rogers (R)
43%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
$66 ปริมาณ
73%
Mike Rogers (R)
$50 ปริมาณ
43%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Grand Traverse County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Grand Traverse County.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in August after a close primary victory over Haley Stevens, while Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Recent statewide polling shows El-Sayed holding a narrow lead of 2–7 points among likely voters, fueled by stronger performance among independents, women, and younger voters amid economic concerns and tariff debates. Grand Traverse County, a northern Michigan area with a Republican tilt in recent cycles, remains competitive, yet traders appear to weigh the Democratic nominee’s momentum and the open-seat dynamics in his favor for the county outcome. Minor-party candidates and write-ins register limited support in broader surveys. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for late shifts in turnout or messaging.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Grand Traverse County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Grand Traverse County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Grand Traverse County.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 22, 2026, 12:22 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$116วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 22, 2026, 12:22 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Grand Traverse County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Grand Traverse County.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in August after a close primary victory over Haley Stevens, while Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Recent statewide polling shows El-Sayed holding a narrow lead of 2–7 points among likely voters, fueled by stronger performance among independents, women, and younger voters amid economic concerns and tariff debates. Grand Traverse County, a northern Michigan area with a Republican tilt in recent cycles, remains competitive, yet traders appear to weigh the Democratic nominee’s momentum and the open-seat dynamics in his favor for the county outcome. Minor-party candidates and write-ins register limited support in broader surveys. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for late shifts in turnout or messaging.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Grand Traverse County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Grand Traverse County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Grand Traverse County.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$116วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 22, 2026, 12:22 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in August after a close primary victory over Haley Stevens, while Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Recent statewide polling shows El-Sayed holding a narrow lead of 2–7 points among likely voters, fueled by stronger performance among independents, women, and younger voters amid economic concerns and tariff debates. Grand Traverse County, a northern Michigan area with a Republican tilt in recent cycles, remains competitive, yet traders appear to weigh the Democratic nominee’s momentum and the open-seat dynamics in his favor for the county outcome. Minor-party candidates and write-ins register limited support in broader surveys. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for late shifts in turnout or messaging.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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