Democratic incumbent Becca Balint holds a commanding lead in Vermont’s at-large House district heading into the November 3 general election, consistent with the market’s strong consensus for the Democratic nominee. The seat has not elected a Republican since 1988, and nonpartisan ratings classify it as safe or solid Democratic. University of New Hampshire polling from July showed Balint ahead of Republican nominee Gerald Malloy by double-digit margins among likely voters, with Balint securing nearly all Democratic primary votes in August while Malloy prevailed in a low-turnout Republican contest. Balint’s incumbency, the district’s partisan lean, and consistent polling trends underpin trader pricing. A major scandal, significant national political shift, or unexpected turnout surge would be required to alter the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วVT-AL House Election Winner
VT-AL House Election Winner
$39,772 ปริมาณ
$39,772 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
5%
$39,772 ปริมาณ
$39,772 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,786 ปริมาณ
96%
Republican Party
$30,986 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Becca Balint holds a commanding lead in Vermont’s at-large House district heading into the November 3 general election, consistent with the market’s strong consensus for the Democratic nominee. The seat has not elected a Republican since 1988, and nonpartisan ratings classify it as safe or solid Democratic. University of New Hampshire polling from July showed Balint ahead of Republican nominee Gerald Malloy by double-digit margins among likely voters, with Balint securing nearly all Democratic primary votes in August while Malloy prevailed in a low-turnout Republican contest. Balint’s incumbency, the district’s partisan lean, and consistent polling trends underpin trader pricing. A major scandal, significant national political shift, or unexpected turnout surge would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,772วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Becca Balint holds a commanding lead in Vermont’s at-large House district heading into the November 3 general election, consistent with the market’s strong consensus for the Democratic nominee. The seat has not elected a Republican since 1988, and nonpartisan ratings classify it as safe or solid Democratic. University of New Hampshire polling from July showed Balint ahead of Republican nominee Gerald Malloy by double-digit margins among likely voters, with Balint securing nearly all Democratic primary votes in August while Malloy prevailed in a low-turnout Republican contest. Balint’s incumbency, the district’s partisan lean, and consistent polling trends underpin trader pricing. A major scandal, significant national political shift, or unexpected turnout surge would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,772วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Becca Balint holds a commanding lead in Vermont’s at-large House district heading into the November 3 general election, consistent with the market’s strong consensus for the Democratic nominee. The seat has not elected a Republican since 1988, and nonpartisan ratings classify it as safe or solid Democratic. University of New Hampshire polling from July showed Balint ahead of Republican nominee Gerald Malloy by double-digit margins among likely voters, with Balint securing nearly all Democratic primary votes in August while Malloy prevailed in a low-turnout Republican contest. Balint’s incumbency, the district’s partisan lean, and consistent polling trends underpin trader pricing. A major scandal, significant national political shift, or unexpected turnout surge would be required to alter the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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