Vermont's at-large House seat has been held by Democrats since 1990, with the incumbent, Becca Balint, securing reelection by more than 30 points in 2024 and seeking a third term. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries and November 3 general election. Republican primary candidates Mark Coester and Gerald Malloy have shown limited fundraising and visibility, consistent with the state's partisan composition and historical margins. This environment underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, significant health event for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave capable of overcoming Vermont's established voting patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วVT-AL House Election Winner
VT-AL House Election Winner
$13,103 ปริมาณ
$13,103 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$13,103 ปริมาณ
$13,103 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,744 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$6,359 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Vermont's at-large House seat has been held by Democrats since 1990, with the incumbent, Becca Balint, securing reelection by more than 30 points in 2024 and seeking a third term. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries and November 3 general election. Republican primary candidates Mark Coester and Gerald Malloy have shown limited fundraising and visibility, consistent with the state's partisan composition and historical margins. This environment underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, significant health event for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave capable of overcoming Vermont's established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,103วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Vermont's at-large House seat has been held by Democrats since 1990, with the incumbent, Becca Balint, securing reelection by more than 30 points in 2024 and seeking a third term. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries and November 3 general election. Republican primary candidates Mark Coester and Gerald Malloy have shown limited fundraising and visibility, consistent with the state's partisan composition and historical margins. This environment underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, significant health event for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave capable of overcoming Vermont's established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,103วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vermont's at-large House seat has been held by Democrats since 1990, with the incumbent, Becca Balint, securing reelection by more than 30 points in 2024 and seeking a third term. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries and November 3 general election. Republican primary candidates Mark Coester and Gerald Malloy have shown limited fundraising and visibility, consistent with the state's partisan composition and historical margins. This environment underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, significant health event for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave capable of overcoming Vermont's established voting patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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