North Dakota's at-large House seat remains a structural Republican stronghold, reflected in the market's 95% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Freshman incumbent Julie Fedorchak won the seat by a wide margin in 2024, and nonpartisan race raters continue to classify the district as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. The Democratic primary on June 9 offers limited competition, with returning challenger Trygve Hammer as the main contender in a state that has not elected a Democrat to Congress in decades. National midterm dynamics or an unforeseen local development could narrow the gap, yet current polling trends and fundraising patterns show no signs of eroding the Republican advantage.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วND-AL House Election Winner
ND-AL House Election Winner
$39,243 ปริมาณ
$39,243 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
4%
$39,243 ปริมาณ
$39,243 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$23,342 ปริมาณ
95%
Democratic Party
$15,901 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota's at-large House seat remains a structural Republican stronghold, reflected in the market's 95% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Freshman incumbent Julie Fedorchak won the seat by a wide margin in 2024, and nonpartisan race raters continue to classify the district as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. The Democratic primary on June 9 offers limited competition, with returning challenger Trygve Hammer as the main contender in a state that has not elected a Democrat to Congress in decades. National midterm dynamics or an unforeseen local development could narrow the gap, yet current polling trends and fundraising patterns show no signs of eroding the Republican advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,243วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota's at-large House seat remains a structural Republican stronghold, reflected in the market's 95% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Freshman incumbent Julie Fedorchak won the seat by a wide margin in 2024, and nonpartisan race raters continue to classify the district as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. The Democratic primary on June 9 offers limited competition, with returning challenger Trygve Hammer as the main contender in a state that has not elected a Democrat to Congress in decades. National midterm dynamics or an unforeseen local development could narrow the gap, yet current polling trends and fundraising patterns show no signs of eroding the Republican advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,243วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Dakota's at-large House seat remains a structural Republican stronghold, reflected in the market's 95% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Freshman incumbent Julie Fedorchak won the seat by a wide margin in 2024, and nonpartisan race raters continue to classify the district as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. The Democratic primary on June 9 offers limited competition, with returning challenger Trygve Hammer as the main contender in a state that has not elected a Democrat to Congress in decades. National midterm dynamics or an unforeseen local development could narrow the gap, yet current polling trends and fundraising patterns show no signs of eroding the Republican advantage.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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