Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto's strong reelection in 2024 by a 13-point margin in Florida's 9th Congressional District—a D+4 seat with heavy Puerto Rican influence—anchors trader consensus at 75% for a Democratic hold, despite the district's narrow 3.5-point edge for Kamala Harris amid Republican gains among Hispanic voters. Ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Democratic), Inside Elections (Solid Democratic), and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Likely Democratic) as of mid-April reflect the lack of a formidable GOP recruit, with the Republican primary field featuring 2024 losers Thomas Chalifoux and Marcus Carter alongside newcomers like Howard Steven Rance. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, but Democratic wins in March state special elections signal potential momentum; watch for June filing deadlines, August 18 primaries, and national midterm dynamics that could shift odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFL-09 House Election Winner
FL-09 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
75%
Republican Party
23%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,727 ปริมาณ
75%
Republican Party
$1,686 ปริมาณ
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto's strong reelection in 2024 by a 13-point margin in Florida's 9th Congressional District—a D+4 seat with heavy Puerto Rican influence—anchors trader consensus at 75% for a Democratic hold, despite the district's narrow 3.5-point edge for Kamala Harris amid Republican gains among Hispanic voters. Ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Democratic), Inside Elections (Solid Democratic), and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Likely Democratic) as of mid-April reflect the lack of a formidable GOP recruit, with the Republican primary field featuring 2024 losers Thomas Chalifoux and Marcus Carter alongside newcomers like Howard Steven Rance. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, but Democratic wins in March state special elections signal potential momentum; watch for June filing deadlines, August 18 primaries, and national midterm dynamics that could shift odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,413วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto's strong reelection in 2024 by a 13-point margin in Florida's 9th Congressional District—a D+4 seat with heavy Puerto Rican influence—anchors trader consensus at 75% for a Democratic hold, despite the district's narrow 3.5-point edge for Kamala Harris amid Republican gains among Hispanic voters. Ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Democratic), Inside Elections (Solid Democratic), and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Likely Democratic) as of mid-April reflect the lack of a formidable GOP recruit, with the Republican primary field featuring 2024 losers Thomas Chalifoux and Marcus Carter alongside newcomers like Howard Steven Rance. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, but Democratic wins in March state special elections signal potential momentum; watch for June filing deadlines, August 18 primaries, and national midterm dynamics that could shift odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,413วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto's strong reelection in 2024 by a 13-point margin in Florida's 9th Congressional District—a D+4 seat with heavy Puerto Rican influence—anchors trader consensus at 75% for a Democratic hold, despite the district's narrow 3.5-point edge for Kamala Harris amid Republican gains among Hispanic voters. Ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Democratic), Inside Elections (Solid Democratic), and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Likely Democratic) as of mid-April reflect the lack of a formidable GOP recruit, with the Republican primary field featuring 2024 losers Thomas Chalifoux and Marcus Carter alongside newcomers like Howard Steven Rance. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, but Democratic wins in March state special elections signal potential momentum; watch for June filing deadlines, August 18 primaries, and national midterm dynamics that could shift odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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