Redistricting approved by Florida’s Republican-led legislature and governor in 2026 significantly altered FL-09 boundaries, incorporating more rural and Republican-leaning counties such as Indian River, Highlands, and Glades while reducing the prior Democratic tilt. The new lines produce an R+8 partisan voting index and show Donald Trump carrying the district by roughly 18 points in 2024 voting patterns. Democrat Darren Soto, the incumbent since 2017, advanced unopposed through his primary, while Republican Dan Green narrowly won a crowded August 18 primary. Nonpartisan forecasters now rate the November 3 general election as Likely or Lean Republican, reflecting the structural shift that has repositioned the seat as a competitive target for the GOP despite Soto’s established name recognition in parts of the former district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFL-09 House Election Winner
FL-09 House Election Winner
$19,409 ปริมาณ
$19,409 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
64%
Democratic Party
34%
$19,409 ปริมาณ
$19,409 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$11,402 ปริมาณ
64%
Democratic Party
$8,006 ปริมาณ
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved by Florida’s Republican-led legislature and governor in 2026 significantly altered FL-09 boundaries, incorporating more rural and Republican-leaning counties such as Indian River, Highlands, and Glades while reducing the prior Democratic tilt. The new lines produce an R+8 partisan voting index and show Donald Trump carrying the district by roughly 18 points in 2024 voting patterns. Democrat Darren Soto, the incumbent since 2017, advanced unopposed through his primary, while Republican Dan Green narrowly won a crowded August 18 primary. Nonpartisan forecasters now rate the November 3 general election as Likely or Lean Republican, reflecting the structural shift that has repositioned the seat as a competitive target for the GOP despite Soto’s established name recognition in parts of the former district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,409วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved by Florida’s Republican-led legislature and governor in 2026 significantly altered FL-09 boundaries, incorporating more rural and Republican-leaning counties such as Indian River, Highlands, and Glades while reducing the prior Democratic tilt. The new lines produce an R+8 partisan voting index and show Donald Trump carrying the district by roughly 18 points in 2024 voting patterns. Democrat Darren Soto, the incumbent since 2017, advanced unopposed through his primary, while Republican Dan Green narrowly won a crowded August 18 primary. Nonpartisan forecasters now rate the November 3 general election as Likely or Lean Republican, reflecting the structural shift that has repositioned the seat as a competitive target for the GOP despite Soto’s established name recognition in parts of the former district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,409วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting approved by Florida’s Republican-led legislature and governor in 2026 significantly altered FL-09 boundaries, incorporating more rural and Republican-leaning counties such as Indian River, Highlands, and Glades while reducing the prior Democratic tilt. The new lines produce an R+8 partisan voting index and show Donald Trump carrying the district by roughly 18 points in 2024 voting patterns. Democrat Darren Soto, the incumbent since 2017, advanced unopposed through his primary, while Republican Dan Green narrowly won a crowded August 18 primary. Nonpartisan forecasters now rate the November 3 general election as Likely or Lean Republican, reflecting the structural shift that has repositioned the seat as a competitive target for the GOP despite Soto’s established name recognition in parts of the former district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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