Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney holds a commanding lead in the NY-24 House race, reflected in the 92.5% Republican implied probability on prediction markets. The district’s R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index, consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and statewide contests, and Tenney’s established name recognition and fundraising edge underpin trader consensus. Multiple nonpartisan raters classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman, who won her June primary, trails significantly in campaign resources and faces structural headwinds in this Upstate New York district. Late developments such as a major national partisan swing, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually strong Democratic mobilization could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows limited movement in those directions ahead of the November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-24 House Election Winner
NY-24 House Election Winner
$20,538 ปริมาณ
$20,538 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
$20,538 ปริมาณ
$20,538 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$10,918 ปริมาณ
93%
Democratic Party
$9,620 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney holds a commanding lead in the NY-24 House race, reflected in the 92.5% Republican implied probability on prediction markets. The district’s R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index, consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and statewide contests, and Tenney’s established name recognition and fundraising edge underpin trader consensus. Multiple nonpartisan raters classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman, who won her June primary, trails significantly in campaign resources and faces structural headwinds in this Upstate New York district. Late developments such as a major national partisan swing, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually strong Democratic mobilization could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows limited movement in those directions ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,538วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney holds a commanding lead in the NY-24 House race, reflected in the 92.5% Republican implied probability on prediction markets. The district’s R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index, consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and statewide contests, and Tenney’s established name recognition and fundraising edge underpin trader consensus. Multiple nonpartisan raters classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman, who won her June primary, trails significantly in campaign resources and faces structural headwinds in this Upstate New York district. Late developments such as a major national partisan swing, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually strong Democratic mobilization could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows limited movement in those directions ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,538วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney holds a commanding lead in the NY-24 House race, reflected in the 92.5% Republican implied probability on prediction markets. The district’s R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index, consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and statewide contests, and Tenney’s established name recognition and fundraising edge underpin trader consensus. Multiple nonpartisan raters classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman, who won her June primary, trails significantly in campaign resources and faces structural headwinds in this Upstate New York district. Late developments such as a major national partisan swing, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually strong Democratic mobilization could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows limited movement in those directions ahead of the November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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