Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle seeks re-election in New York's 25th congressional district, a Rochester-area seat with a D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index that has delivered consistent Democratic margins. Morelle secured 60.8 percent of the vote in 2024 and maintains strong fundraising and institutional support ahead of the June 23 primary and November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and the absence of competitive challengers. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome at 93.5 percent aligns with these structural factors. A significant national partisan shift or unexpected primary upset could narrow the margin, though such scenarios remain low-probability given historical patterns in comparable districts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-25 House Election Winner
NY-25 House Election Winner
$25,090 ปริมาณ
$25,090 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
4%
$25,090 ปริมาณ
$25,090 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,992 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$10,098 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle seeks re-election in New York's 25th congressional district, a Rochester-area seat with a D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index that has delivered consistent Democratic margins. Morelle secured 60.8 percent of the vote in 2024 and maintains strong fundraising and institutional support ahead of the June 23 primary and November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and the absence of competitive challengers. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome at 93.5 percent aligns with these structural factors. A significant national partisan shift or unexpected primary upset could narrow the margin, though such scenarios remain low-probability given historical patterns in comparable districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,090วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle seeks re-election in New York's 25th congressional district, a Rochester-area seat with a D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index that has delivered consistent Democratic margins. Morelle secured 60.8 percent of the vote in 2024 and maintains strong fundraising and institutional support ahead of the June 23 primary and November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and the absence of competitive challengers. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome at 93.5 percent aligns with these structural factors. A significant national partisan shift or unexpected primary upset could narrow the margin, though such scenarios remain low-probability given historical patterns in comparable districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,090วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle seeks re-election in New York's 25th congressional district, a Rochester-area seat with a D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index that has delivered consistent Democratic margins. Morelle secured 60.8 percent of the vote in 2024 and maintains strong fundraising and institutional support ahead of the June 23 primary and November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and the absence of competitive challengers. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome at 93.5 percent aligns with these structural factors. A significant national partisan shift or unexpected primary upset could narrow the margin, though such scenarios remain low-probability given historical patterns in comparable districts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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