Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy enjoys strong trader consensus at 81.5% to retain the NY-23 House seat in the November 3, 2026 midterm general election, driven by the district's reliable Republican tilt—Trump carried it by 21 points in 2024, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+10—and historical incumbency advantages exceeding 90% re-election rates. No public polls have surfaced to challenge this positioning, and recent Democratic primary filings, including Aaron Gies submitting over 8,000 signatures on March 30, alongside a minor Republican primary challenger announcing in February, have failed to shift odds. June 23 primaries loom as the next potential catalyst, though fundamentals heavily favor the GOP.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-23 House Election Winner
NY-23 House Election Winner
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
17%
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
17%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy enjoys strong trader consensus at 81.5% to retain the NY-23 House seat in the November 3, 2026 midterm general election, driven by the district's reliable Republican tilt—Trump carried it by 21 points in 2024, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+10—and historical incumbency advantages exceeding 90% re-election rates. No public polls have surfaced to challenge this positioning, and recent Democratic primary filings, including Aaron Gies submitting over 8,000 signatures on March 30, alongside a minor Republican primary challenger announcing in February, have failed to shift odds. June 23 primaries loom as the next potential catalyst, though fundamentals heavily favor the GOP.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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