Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 63.5% to retain Texas's 23rd Congressional District in the November 4, 2026, midterm elections, reflecting the district's R+7 partisan lean and strong 2024 Trump performance (+15 points) amid an open seat race between GOP nominee Brandon Herrera and Democrat Katy Padilla Stout. Herrera, a gun rights activist and YouTuber who topped the March 3 Republican primary ahead of scandal-plagued incumbent Tony Gonzales, secured the nomination after Gonzales dropped out on March 5 and resigned April 13, prompting calls for a special election but solidifying Herrera's path with a Trump endorsement. Democrats view the vacancy as a flip opportunity in the majority-Hispanic battleground stretching from San Antonio to El Paso, yet no recent polls show Stout closing the gap, leaving the contest competitive but GOP-favored per historical base rates in similar districts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-23 House Election Winner
TX-23 House Election Winner
$14,862 ปริมาณ
$14,862 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
64%
Democratic Party
33%
$14,862 ปริมาณ
$14,862 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,059 ปริมาณ
64%
Democratic Party
$6,803 ปริมาณ
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 63.5% to retain Texas's 23rd Congressional District in the November 4, 2026, midterm elections, reflecting the district's R+7 partisan lean and strong 2024 Trump performance (+15 points) amid an open seat race between GOP nominee Brandon Herrera and Democrat Katy Padilla Stout. Herrera, a gun rights activist and YouTuber who topped the March 3 Republican primary ahead of scandal-plagued incumbent Tony Gonzales, secured the nomination after Gonzales dropped out on March 5 and resigned April 13, prompting calls for a special election but solidifying Herrera's path with a Trump endorsement. Democrats view the vacancy as a flip opportunity in the majority-Hispanic battleground stretching from San Antonio to El Paso, yet no recent polls show Stout closing the gap, leaving the contest competitive but GOP-favored per historical base rates in similar districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,862วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 63.5% to retain Texas's 23rd Congressional District in the November 4, 2026, midterm elections, reflecting the district's R+7 partisan lean and strong 2024 Trump performance (+15 points) amid an open seat race between GOP nominee Brandon Herrera and Democrat Katy Padilla Stout. Herrera, a gun rights activist and YouTuber who topped the March 3 Republican primary ahead of scandal-plagued incumbent Tony Gonzales, secured the nomination after Gonzales dropped out on March 5 and resigned April 13, prompting calls for a special election but solidifying Herrera's path with a Trump endorsement. Democrats view the vacancy as a flip opportunity in the majority-Hispanic battleground stretching from San Antonio to El Paso, yet no recent polls show Stout closing the gap, leaving the contest competitive but GOP-favored per historical base rates in similar districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,862วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 63.5% to retain Texas's 23rd Congressional District in the November 4, 2026, midterm elections, reflecting the district's R+7 partisan lean and strong 2024 Trump performance (+15 points) amid an open seat race between GOP nominee Brandon Herrera and Democrat Katy Padilla Stout. Herrera, a gun rights activist and YouTuber who topped the March 3 Republican primary ahead of scandal-plagued incumbent Tony Gonzales, secured the nomination after Gonzales dropped out on March 5 and resigned April 13, prompting calls for a special election but solidifying Herrera's path with a Trump endorsement. Democrats view the vacancy as a flip opportunity in the majority-Hispanic battleground stretching from San Antonio to El Paso, yet no recent polls show Stout closing the gap, leaving the contest competitive but GOP-favored per historical base rates in similar districts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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