Texas's 22nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's substantial 2024 margin there, which underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at over 90 percent. Incumbent Troy Nehls retired after winning reelection with 62 percent, leaving an open seat that Republican primary voters filled with his brother, Trever Nehls, who secured 76 percent against a single opponent. Democrat Marquette Greene-Scott won her party's primary but faces structural headwinds in a district spanning suburban Fort Bend, Harris, and Brazoria counties. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as national midterm swings, candidate-specific controversies, or shifts in local turnout among the district's diverse electorate could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-22 House Election Winner
TX-22 House Election Winner
$26,487 ปริมาณ
$26,487 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
$26,487 ปริมาณ
$26,487 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$16,898 ปริมาณ
93%
Democratic Party
$9,589 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 22nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's substantial 2024 margin there, which underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at over 90 percent. Incumbent Troy Nehls retired after winning reelection with 62 percent, leaving an open seat that Republican primary voters filled with his brother, Trever Nehls, who secured 76 percent against a single opponent. Democrat Marquette Greene-Scott won her party's primary but faces structural headwinds in a district spanning suburban Fort Bend, Harris, and Brazoria counties. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as national midterm swings, candidate-specific controversies, or shifts in local turnout among the district's diverse electorate could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,487วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 22nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's substantial 2024 margin there, which underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at over 90 percent. Incumbent Troy Nehls retired after winning reelection with 62 percent, leaving an open seat that Republican primary voters filled with his brother, Trever Nehls, who secured 76 percent against a single opponent. Democrat Marquette Greene-Scott won her party's primary but faces structural headwinds in a district spanning suburban Fort Bend, Harris, and Brazoria counties. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as national midterm swings, candidate-specific controversies, or shifts in local turnout among the district's diverse electorate could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,487วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 22nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's substantial 2024 margin there, which underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at over 90 percent. Incumbent Troy Nehls retired after winning reelection with 62 percent, leaving an open seat that Republican primary voters filled with his brother, Trever Nehls, who secured 76 percent against a single opponent. Democrat Marquette Greene-Scott won her party's primary but faces structural headwinds in a district spanning suburban Fort Bend, Harris, and Brazoria counties. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as national midterm swings, candidate-specific controversies, or shifts in local turnout among the district's diverse electorate could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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