The Republican nominee holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Texas's 22nd congressional district due to the seat's established partisan lean and the outcome of recent primaries. Troy Nehls's retirement opened the race, but his brother Trever Nehls secured the Republican nomination in the March 2026 primary, while Marquette Greene-Scott advanced on the Democratic side. The district, which covers suburban areas southwest of Houston, delivered a 24-point Republican margin in the 2024 general election, consistent with its Cook Partisan Voting Index rating that favors the GOP. With the November 2026 general election still months away, limited polling and the absence of major shifts in voter registration or national conditions have kept the implied probability stable at these levels.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-22 House Election Winner
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
13%
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
13%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Texas's 22nd congressional district due to the seat's established partisan lean and the outcome of recent primaries. Troy Nehls's retirement opened the race, but his brother Trever Nehls secured the Republican nomination in the March 2026 primary, while Marquette Greene-Scott advanced on the Democratic side. The district, which covers suburban areas southwest of Houston, delivered a 24-point Republican margin in the 2024 general election, consistent with its Cook Partisan Voting Index rating that favors the GOP. With the November 2026 general election still months away, limited polling and the absence of major shifts in voter registration or national conditions have kept the implied probability stable at these levels.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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