Maryland's 4th congressional district encompasses Washington, D.C. suburbs in Prince George's County, producing a Partisan Voter Index of D+39 and making it one of the nation's most Democratic seats. Incumbent Democrat Glenn Ivey secured 88.4 percent in the 2024 general election, and forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the 2026 contest Solid Democratic. This structural advantage, reinforced by consistent turnout patterns among federal employees and urban voters, underpins the market's assignment of a commanding lead to the Democratic nominee. A credible Republican challenger has yet to emerge ahead of the June primaries, though an unexpected scandal or unusually high Republican mobilization could narrow the margin before the November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMD-04 House Election Winner
MD-04 House Election Winner
$27,153 ปริมาณ
$27,153 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
$27,153 ปริมาณ
$27,153 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,107 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$19,046 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 4th congressional district encompasses Washington, D.C. suburbs in Prince George's County, producing a Partisan Voter Index of D+39 and making it one of the nation's most Democratic seats. Incumbent Democrat Glenn Ivey secured 88.4 percent in the 2024 general election, and forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the 2026 contest Solid Democratic. This structural advantage, reinforced by consistent turnout patterns among federal employees and urban voters, underpins the market's assignment of a commanding lead to the Democratic nominee. A credible Republican challenger has yet to emerge ahead of the June primaries, though an unexpected scandal or unusually high Republican mobilization could narrow the margin before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,153วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 4th congressional district encompasses Washington, D.C. suburbs in Prince George's County, producing a Partisan Voter Index of D+39 and making it one of the nation's most Democratic seats. Incumbent Democrat Glenn Ivey secured 88.4 percent in the 2024 general election, and forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the 2026 contest Solid Democratic. This structural advantage, reinforced by consistent turnout patterns among federal employees and urban voters, underpins the market's assignment of a commanding lead to the Democratic nominee. A credible Republican challenger has yet to emerge ahead of the June primaries, though an unexpected scandal or unusually high Republican mobilization could narrow the margin before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,153วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 4th congressional district encompasses Washington, D.C. suburbs in Prince George's County, producing a Partisan Voter Index of D+39 and making it one of the nation's most Democratic seats. Incumbent Democrat Glenn Ivey secured 88.4 percent in the 2024 general election, and forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the 2026 contest Solid Democratic. This structural advantage, reinforced by consistent turnout patterns among federal employees and urban voters, underpins the market's assignment of a commanding lead to the Democratic nominee. A credible Republican challenger has yet to emerge ahead of the June primaries, though an unexpected scandal or unusually high Republican mobilization could narrow the margin before the November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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