Maryland's 4th congressional district, encompassing Prince George's County suburbs of Washington, D.C., maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage, as evidenced by the incumbent's 88.4% margin in the prior cycle and consistent partisan voting patterns. Democrat Glenn Ivey, first elected in 2022 and seeking re-election, faces multiple challengers in the June 23 primary while Republican George McDermott runs unopposed in his party's contest. Trader consensus on a Democratic general election victory on November 3 aligns with the district's structural baseline and lack of recent polling or legislative shifts that would alter the established dynamics. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited to an unexpected primary outcome or broad national realignment, though such factors have rarely overcome the area's entrenched partisan balance in recent cycles.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMD-04 House Election Winner
MD-04 House Election Winner
$27,153 ปริมาณ
$27,153 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
$27,153 ปริมาณ
$27,153 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,107 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$19,046 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 4th congressional district, encompassing Prince George's County suburbs of Washington, D.C., maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage, as evidenced by the incumbent's 88.4% margin in the prior cycle and consistent partisan voting patterns. Democrat Glenn Ivey, first elected in 2022 and seeking re-election, faces multiple challengers in the June 23 primary while Republican George McDermott runs unopposed in his party's contest. Trader consensus on a Democratic general election victory on November 3 aligns with the district's structural baseline and lack of recent polling or legislative shifts that would alter the established dynamics. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited to an unexpected primary outcome or broad national realignment, though such factors have rarely overcome the area's entrenched partisan balance in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,153วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 4th congressional district, encompassing Prince George's County suburbs of Washington, D.C., maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage, as evidenced by the incumbent's 88.4% margin in the prior cycle and consistent partisan voting patterns. Democrat Glenn Ivey, first elected in 2022 and seeking re-election, faces multiple challengers in the June 23 primary while Republican George McDermott runs unopposed in his party's contest. Trader consensus on a Democratic general election victory on November 3 aligns with the district's structural baseline and lack of recent polling or legislative shifts that would alter the established dynamics. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited to an unexpected primary outcome or broad national realignment, though such factors have rarely overcome the area's entrenched partisan balance in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,153วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 4th congressional district, encompassing Prince George's County suburbs of Washington, D.C., maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage, as evidenced by the incumbent's 88.4% margin in the prior cycle and consistent partisan voting patterns. Democrat Glenn Ivey, first elected in 2022 and seeking re-election, faces multiple challengers in the June 23 primary while Republican George McDermott runs unopposed in his party's contest. Trader consensus on a Democratic general election victory on November 3 aligns with the district's structural baseline and lack of recent polling or legislative shifts that would alter the established dynamics. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited to an unexpected primary outcome or broad national realignment, though such factors have rarely overcome the area's entrenched partisan balance in recent cycles.
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