Incumbent Republican Michael Lawler faces a competitive general election on November 3 in New York's 17th congressional district, rated a toss-up by multiple forecasters with a Cook PVI of D+1. Democratic primary voters on June 23 will select among Cait Conley, Beth Davidson, and Effie Phillips-Staley, who lead recent polls and endorsements while raising substantial funds. Trader pricing favoring the Democratic nominee at 66% reflects the district's narrow recent margins, Democratic spending advantages, and its status as a prime pickup opportunity for the party in the 2026 midterms. Lawler's unopposed Republican path and established name recognition support the Republican outcome near 54%, though primary results and subsequent campaign dynamics could shift positioning ahead of the general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-17 House Election Winner
NY-17 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
66%
Republican Party
34%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$304 ปริมาณ
66%
Republican Party
$178 ปริมาณ
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Lawler faces a competitive general election on November 3 in New York's 17th congressional district, rated a toss-up by multiple forecasters with a Cook PVI of D+1. Democratic primary voters on June 23 will select among Cait Conley, Beth Davidson, and Effie Phillips-Staley, who lead recent polls and endorsements while raising substantial funds. Trader pricing favoring the Democratic nominee at 66% reflects the district's narrow recent margins, Democratic spending advantages, and its status as a prime pickup opportunity for the party in the 2026 midterms. Lawler's unopposed Republican path and established name recognition support the Republican outcome near 54%, though primary results and subsequent campaign dynamics could shift positioning ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$481วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Lawler faces a competitive general election on November 3 in New York's 17th congressional district, rated a toss-up by multiple forecasters with a Cook PVI of D+1. Democratic primary voters on June 23 will select among Cait Conley, Beth Davidson, and Effie Phillips-Staley, who lead recent polls and endorsements while raising substantial funds. Trader pricing favoring the Democratic nominee at 66% reflects the district's narrow recent margins, Democratic spending advantages, and its status as a prime pickup opportunity for the party in the 2026 midterms. Lawler's unopposed Republican path and established name recognition support the Republican outcome near 54%, though primary results and subsequent campaign dynamics could shift positioning ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$481วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Lawler faces a competitive general election on November 3 in New York's 17th congressional district, rated a toss-up by multiple forecasters with a Cook PVI of D+1. Democratic primary voters on June 23 will select among Cait Conley, Beth Davidson, and Effie Phillips-Staley, who lead recent polls and endorsements while raising substantial funds. Trader pricing favoring the Democratic nominee at 66% reflects the district's narrow recent margins, Democratic spending advantages, and its status as a prime pickup opportunity for the party in the 2026 midterms. Lawler's unopposed Republican path and established name recognition support the Republican outcome near 54%, though primary results and subsequent campaign dynamics could shift positioning ahead of the general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย