Democratic incumbent Scott Peters holds a commanding position in the CA-50 general election due to the district's post-Proposition 50 redistricting, which shifted the partisan balance toward Democrats, combined with his strong primary performance against Republican Steve Cohen. Peters secured roughly 48 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing comfortably ahead of Cohen's 40 percent share amid limited Republican infrastructure in the San Diego-area seat. Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and similar nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns and voter registration advantages. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Democratic aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal, unusually high Republican turnout, or national political reversal could still narrow the margin before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-50 House Election Winner
CA-50 House Election Winner
$60,159 ปริมาณ
$60,159 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$60,159 ปริมาณ
$60,159 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$35,326 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$24,833 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Scott Peters holds a commanding position in the CA-50 general election due to the district's post-Proposition 50 redistricting, which shifted the partisan balance toward Democrats, combined with his strong primary performance against Republican Steve Cohen. Peters secured roughly 48 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing comfortably ahead of Cohen's 40 percent share amid limited Republican infrastructure in the San Diego-area seat. Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and similar nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns and voter registration advantages. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Democratic aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal, unusually high Republican turnout, or national political reversal could still narrow the margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$60,159วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Scott Peters holds a commanding position in the CA-50 general election due to the district's post-Proposition 50 redistricting, which shifted the partisan balance toward Democrats, combined with his strong primary performance against Republican Steve Cohen. Peters secured roughly 48 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing comfortably ahead of Cohen's 40 percent share amid limited Republican infrastructure in the San Diego-area seat. Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and similar nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns and voter registration advantages. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Democratic aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal, unusually high Republican turnout, or national political reversal could still narrow the margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$60,159วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Scott Peters holds a commanding position in the CA-50 general election due to the district's post-Proposition 50 redistricting, which shifted the partisan balance toward Democrats, combined with his strong primary performance against Republican Steve Cohen. Peters secured roughly 48 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing comfortably ahead of Cohen's 40 percent share amid limited Republican infrastructure in the San Diego-area seat. Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and similar nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns and voter registration advantages. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Democratic aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal, unusually high Republican turnout, or national political reversal could still narrow the margin before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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