Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters' commanding lead in California's 50th Congressional District drives trader consensus at 93% for a Democratic victory, bolstered by the district's D+16 rating under maps redrawn via Proposition 50's passage in late 2025, which shifted boundaries to favor Democrats in multiple California races. Peters announced his re-election bid in February 2026 amid minimal Republican opposition, with the June 2 top-two primary looming as the next key event. No recent polls show competitive challengers, reflecting incumbency advantage and the district's San Diego-area Democratic lean. Scenarios to challenge this include a surprise GOP primary upset, Peters scandal, or national Republican midterm wave, though structural factors make such shifts unlikely.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-50 House Election Winner
CA-50 House Election Winner
$20,118 ปริมาณ
$20,118 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$20,118 ปริมาณ
$20,118 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,144 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$4,974 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters' commanding lead in California's 50th Congressional District drives trader consensus at 93% for a Democratic victory, bolstered by the district's D+16 rating under maps redrawn via Proposition 50's passage in late 2025, which shifted boundaries to favor Democrats in multiple California races. Peters announced his re-election bid in February 2026 amid minimal Republican opposition, with the June 2 top-two primary looming as the next key event. No recent polls show competitive challengers, reflecting incumbency advantage and the district's San Diego-area Democratic lean. Scenarios to challenge this include a surprise GOP primary upset, Peters scandal, or national Republican midterm wave, though structural factors make such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,118วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters' commanding lead in California's 50th Congressional District drives trader consensus at 93% for a Democratic victory, bolstered by the district's D+16 rating under maps redrawn via Proposition 50's passage in late 2025, which shifted boundaries to favor Democrats in multiple California races. Peters announced his re-election bid in February 2026 amid minimal Republican opposition, with the June 2 top-two primary looming as the next key event. No recent polls show competitive challengers, reflecting incumbency advantage and the district's San Diego-area Democratic lean. Scenarios to challenge this include a surprise GOP primary upset, Peters scandal, or national Republican midterm wave, though structural factors make such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,118วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters' commanding lead in California's 50th Congressional District drives trader consensus at 93% for a Democratic victory, bolstered by the district's D+16 rating under maps redrawn via Proposition 50's passage in late 2025, which shifted boundaries to favor Democrats in multiple California races. Peters announced his re-election bid in February 2026 amid minimal Republican opposition, with the June 2 top-two primary looming as the next key event. No recent polls show competitive challengers, reflecting incumbency advantage and the district's San Diego-area Democratic lean. Scenarios to challenge this include a surprise GOP primary upset, Peters scandal, or national Republican midterm wave, though structural factors make such shifts unlikely.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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