New York’s 9th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and the party’s 69-29 margin in the 2024 presidential vote. Incumbent Representative Yvette Clarke faces a June 23 Democratic primary against challengers Joshua Bristol and Michael Goldfarb, while Republican Joel Anabilah-Azumah is the general-election nominee. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive contest. A shift would require an unusually strong Republican performance or late-cycle developments capable of overcoming the district’s consistent partisan patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-09 House Election Winner
NY-09 House Election Winner
$32,511 ปริมาณ
$32,511 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$32,511 ปริมาณ
$32,511 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$18,969 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$13,542 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 9th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and the party’s 69-29 margin in the 2024 presidential vote. Incumbent Representative Yvette Clarke faces a June 23 Democratic primary against challengers Joshua Bristol and Michael Goldfarb, while Republican Joel Anabilah-Azumah is the general-election nominee. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive contest. A shift would require an unusually strong Republican performance or late-cycle developments capable of overcoming the district’s consistent partisan patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,511วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 9th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and the party’s 69-29 margin in the 2024 presidential vote. Incumbent Representative Yvette Clarke faces a June 23 Democratic primary against challengers Joshua Bristol and Michael Goldfarb, while Republican Joel Anabilah-Azumah is the general-election nominee. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive contest. A shift would require an unusually strong Republican performance or late-cycle developments capable of overcoming the district’s consistent partisan patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,511วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 9th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and the party’s 69-29 margin in the 2024 presidential vote. Incumbent Representative Yvette Clarke faces a June 23 Democratic primary against challengers Joshua Bristol and Michael Goldfarb, while Republican Joel Anabilah-Azumah is the general-election nominee. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive contest. A shift would require an unusually strong Republican performance or late-cycle developments capable of overcoming the district’s consistent partisan patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย