NY-09's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and the incumbent's 81% margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. Yvette Clarke seeks another term in this Brooklyn-centered district, facing limited Republican opposition in a seat rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. The June 23 primary among Clarke and challengers Michael Goldfarb and Joshua Bristol will set the general-election matchup for November 3, but structural factors such as voter registration and historical turnout patterns limit upside for any Republican candidate. A major scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or national political realignment would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-09 House Election Winner
NY-09 House Election Winner
$32,511 ปริมาณ
$32,511 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$32,511 ปริมาณ
$32,511 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$18,969 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$13,542 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-09's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and the incumbent's 81% margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. Yvette Clarke seeks another term in this Brooklyn-centered district, facing limited Republican opposition in a seat rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. The June 23 primary among Clarke and challengers Michael Goldfarb and Joshua Bristol will set the general-election matchup for November 3, but structural factors such as voter registration and historical turnout patterns limit upside for any Republican candidate. A major scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or national political realignment would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,511วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-09's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and the incumbent's 81% margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. Yvette Clarke seeks another term in this Brooklyn-centered district, facing limited Republican opposition in a seat rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. The June 23 primary among Clarke and challengers Michael Goldfarb and Joshua Bristol will set the general-election matchup for November 3, but structural factors such as voter registration and historical turnout patterns limit upside for any Republican candidate. A major scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or national political realignment would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,511วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NY-09's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and the incumbent's 81% margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. Yvette Clarke seeks another term in this Brooklyn-centered district, facing limited Republican opposition in a seat rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. The June 23 primary among Clarke and challengers Michael Goldfarb and Joshua Bristol will set the general-election matchup for November 3, but structural factors such as voter registration and historical turnout patterns limit upside for any Republican candidate. A major scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or national political realignment would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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