The incumbent Republican John McGuire holds a clear edge in Virginia's 5th Congressional District due to the seat's established Republican lean, with the current congressional map remaining in place after courts blocked Democratic redistricting efforts. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with Donald Trump's 12-point margin here in 2024. Both parties face August 4 primaries before the November 3 general election, with Democratic contenders including former representative Tom Perriello facing an uphill path in a district rated R+6 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index. Trader consensus reflected in these probabilities aligns with the district's voting history and limited recent shifts in the race.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วVA-05 House Election Winner
VA-05 House Election Winner
$55,406 ปริมาณ
$55,406 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
72%
Democratic Party
29%
$55,406 ปริมาณ
$55,406 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$26,597 ปริมาณ
72%
Democratic Party
$28,809 ปริมาณ
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The incumbent Republican John McGuire holds a clear edge in Virginia's 5th Congressional District due to the seat's established Republican lean, with the current congressional map remaining in place after courts blocked Democratic redistricting efforts. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with Donald Trump's 12-point margin here in 2024. Both parties face August 4 primaries before the November 3 general election, with Democratic contenders including former representative Tom Perriello facing an uphill path in a district rated R+6 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index. Trader consensus reflected in these probabilities aligns with the district's voting history and limited recent shifts in the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$55,406วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The incumbent Republican John McGuire holds a clear edge in Virginia's 5th Congressional District due to the seat's established Republican lean, with the current congressional map remaining in place after courts blocked Democratic redistricting efforts. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with Donald Trump's 12-point margin here in 2024. Both parties face August 4 primaries before the November 3 general election, with Democratic contenders including former representative Tom Perriello facing an uphill path in a district rated R+6 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index. Trader consensus reflected in these probabilities aligns with the district's voting history and limited recent shifts in the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$55,406วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The incumbent Republican John McGuire holds a clear edge in Virginia's 5th Congressional District due to the seat's established Republican lean, with the current congressional map remaining in place after courts blocked Democratic redistricting efforts. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with Donald Trump's 12-point margin here in 2024. Both parties face August 4 primaries before the November 3 general election, with Democratic contenders including former representative Tom Perriello facing an uphill path in a district rated R+6 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index. Trader consensus reflected in these probabilities aligns with the district's voting history and limited recent shifts in the race.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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