Trader consensus prices a Democratic win at 75% in Virginia's 6th Congressional District House race, driven primarily by the April 21, 2026, special election referendum on a constitutional amendment allowing the Democratic-controlled General Assembly to draw new congressional maps for the midterms. Proposed maps would reshape VA-06 from its current Cook R+12 rating into a competitive battleground by incorporating more Democratic-leaning areas, offsetting incumbent Republican Ben Cline's strongholds in the Shenandoah Valley. Recent polls show narrow voter support for the amendment amid higher early turnout in GOP districts, while Democratic primary polling favors Tom Perriello over Beth Macy in the redrawn district. No major GOP primary challengers have emerged, with filing deadlines approaching May 26 and primaries August 4.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วVA-06 House Election Winner
VA-06 House Election Winner
$56,397 ปริมาณ
$56,397 ปริมาณ
Democratic Party
75%
Republican Party
18%
$56,397 ปริมาณ
$56,397 ปริมาณ
Democratic Party
75%
Republican Party
18%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a Democratic win at 75% in Virginia's 6th Congressional District House race, driven primarily by the April 21, 2026, special election referendum on a constitutional amendment allowing the Democratic-controlled General Assembly to draw new congressional maps for the midterms. Proposed maps would reshape VA-06 from its current Cook R+12 rating into a competitive battleground by incorporating more Democratic-leaning areas, offsetting incumbent Republican Ben Cline's strongholds in the Shenandoah Valley. Recent polls show narrow voter support for the amendment amid higher early turnout in GOP districts, while Democratic primary polling favors Tom Perriello over Beth Macy in the redrawn district. No major GOP primary challengers have emerged, with filing deadlines approaching May 26 and primaries August 4.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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