The strong Democratic tilt of Colorado's 2nd Congressional District, encompassing Boulder, Fort Collins, and surrounding areas with a Partisan Voter Index around D+20, underpins the 95.5% trader consensus for a Democratic win. Incumbent Joe Neguse secured 68.4% in 2024 and faces no primary opposition, while Republican nominee Kelley Dennison emerged from a low-turnout June 30 primary against limited competition and trails sharply in fundraising. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent historical margins and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. A late scandal, health event, or abrupt national shift could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though current structural factors leave little room for such movement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCO-02 House Election Winner
$40,503 ปริมาณ
$40,503 ปริมาณ
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
1%
$40,503 ปริมาณ
$40,503 ปริมาณ
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
1%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic tilt of Colorado's 2nd Congressional District, encompassing Boulder, Fort Collins, and surrounding areas with a Partisan Voter Index around D+20, underpins the 95.5% trader consensus for a Democratic win. Incumbent Joe Neguse secured 68.4% in 2024 and faces no primary opposition, while Republican nominee Kelley Dennison emerged from a low-turnout June 30 primary against limited competition and trails sharply in fundraising. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent historical margins and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. A late scandal, health event, or abrupt national shift could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though current structural factors leave little room for such movement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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