Iowa's 4th congressional district remains a longstanding Republican stronghold in northwestern Iowa, anchored by areas such as Sioux City and Ames. The open seat, following incumbent Randy Feenstra's retirement to pursue the governorship, drew an uncontested Republican primary win for Chris McGowan and a contested Democratic primary victory for former state representative Dave Dawson. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 92.5% Republican incorporates these structural advantages alongside early general election positioning. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic environment could narrow margins, though the district's voting patterns have shown resilience to such shifts in prior cycles.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIA-04 House Election Winner
IA-04 House Election Winner
$32,156 ปริมาณ
$32,156 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
$32,156 ปริมาณ
$32,156 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$20,064 ปริมาณ
93%
Democratic Party
$12,091 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 4th congressional district remains a longstanding Republican stronghold in northwestern Iowa, anchored by areas such as Sioux City and Ames. The open seat, following incumbent Randy Feenstra's retirement to pursue the governorship, drew an uncontested Republican primary win for Chris McGowan and a contested Democratic primary victory for former state representative Dave Dawson. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 92.5% Republican incorporates these structural advantages alongside early general election positioning. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic environment could narrow margins, though the district's voting patterns have shown resilience to such shifts in prior cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,156วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 4th congressional district remains a longstanding Republican stronghold in northwestern Iowa, anchored by areas such as Sioux City and Ames. The open seat, following incumbent Randy Feenstra's retirement to pursue the governorship, drew an uncontested Republican primary win for Chris McGowan and a contested Democratic primary victory for former state representative Dave Dawson. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 92.5% Republican incorporates these structural advantages alongside early general election positioning. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic environment could narrow margins, though the district's voting patterns have shown resilience to such shifts in prior cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,156วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's 4th congressional district remains a longstanding Republican stronghold in northwestern Iowa, anchored by areas such as Sioux City and Ames. The open seat, following incumbent Randy Feenstra's retirement to pursue the governorship, drew an uncontested Republican primary win for Chris McGowan and a contested Democratic primary victory for former state representative Dave Dawson. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 92.5% Republican incorporates these structural advantages alongside early general election positioning. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic environment could narrow margins, though the district's voting patterns have shown resilience to such shifts in prior cycles.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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