Iowa's 4th congressional district, a longtime Republican stronghold with a Partisan Voter Index of R+15, features an open seat after incumbent Randy Feenstra retired to pursue the governorship. Republican nominee Chris McGowan faces Democrat Dave Dawson, who prevailed in the June 2 primary, in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages, historical margins exceeding 20 points, and limited Democratic infrastructure in the northwest Iowa district. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural Republican edge, though shifts could occur from national midterm dynamics, unexpected candidate developments, or unusually high turnout in battleground counties.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIA-04 House Election Winner
IA-04 House Election Winner
$12,509 ปริมาณ
$12,509 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$12,509 ปริมาณ
$12,509 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,146 ปริมาณ
94%
Democratic Party
$6,362 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 4th congressional district, a longtime Republican stronghold with a Partisan Voter Index of R+15, features an open seat after incumbent Randy Feenstra retired to pursue the governorship. Republican nominee Chris McGowan faces Democrat Dave Dawson, who prevailed in the June 2 primary, in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages, historical margins exceeding 20 points, and limited Democratic infrastructure in the northwest Iowa district. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural Republican edge, though shifts could occur from national midterm dynamics, unexpected candidate developments, or unusually high turnout in battleground counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,509วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 4th congressional district, a longtime Republican stronghold with a Partisan Voter Index of R+15, features an open seat after incumbent Randy Feenstra retired to pursue the governorship. Republican nominee Chris McGowan faces Democrat Dave Dawson, who prevailed in the June 2 primary, in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages, historical margins exceeding 20 points, and limited Democratic infrastructure in the northwest Iowa district. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural Republican edge, though shifts could occur from national midterm dynamics, unexpected candidate developments, or unusually high turnout in battleground counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,509วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's 4th congressional district, a longtime Republican stronghold with a Partisan Voter Index of R+15, features an open seat after incumbent Randy Feenstra retired to pursue the governorship. Republican nominee Chris McGowan faces Democrat Dave Dawson, who prevailed in the June 2 primary, in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages, historical margins exceeding 20 points, and limited Democratic infrastructure in the northwest Iowa district. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural Republican edge, though shifts could occur from national midterm dynamics, unexpected candidate developments, or unusually high turnout in battleground counties.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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