In Iowa's 4th Congressional District, a conservative stronghold in northwest Iowa previously held by Rep. Randy Feenstra—who opted for the 2026 gubernatorial race—traders heavily favor Republicans at 89% implied probability, reflecting the district's deep-red partisan lean and consolidated GOP primary field. Chris McGowan, Sioux City Chamber president with endorsements from former President Trump and House Majority Whip Tom Emmer, emerged unopposed after rivals like state Rep. Matt Windschitl withdrew in early February due to fundraising shortfalls, with further dropouts by mid-March eliminating the June 2 primary contest. Democrats field multiple primary contenders including Ashley WolfTornabane and Dave Dawson, but face steep barriers amid sparse polling and historical GOP dominance, though general election turnout and national headwinds could influence the November outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIA-04 House Election Winner
IA-04 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
89%
Democratic Party
10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$1,022 ปริมาณ
89%
Democratic Party
$1,160 ปริมาณ
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Iowa's 4th Congressional District, a conservative stronghold in northwest Iowa previously held by Rep. Randy Feenstra—who opted for the 2026 gubernatorial race—traders heavily favor Republicans at 89% implied probability, reflecting the district's deep-red partisan lean and consolidated GOP primary field. Chris McGowan, Sioux City Chamber president with endorsements from former President Trump and House Majority Whip Tom Emmer, emerged unopposed after rivals like state Rep. Matt Windschitl withdrew in early February due to fundraising shortfalls, with further dropouts by mid-March eliminating the June 2 primary contest. Democrats field multiple primary contenders including Ashley WolfTornabane and Dave Dawson, but face steep barriers amid sparse polling and historical GOP dominance, though general election turnout and national headwinds could influence the November outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,182วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Iowa's 4th Congressional District, a conservative stronghold in northwest Iowa previously held by Rep. Randy Feenstra—who opted for the 2026 gubernatorial race—traders heavily favor Republicans at 89% implied probability, reflecting the district's deep-red partisan lean and consolidated GOP primary field. Chris McGowan, Sioux City Chamber president with endorsements from former President Trump and House Majority Whip Tom Emmer, emerged unopposed after rivals like state Rep. Matt Windschitl withdrew in early February due to fundraising shortfalls, with further dropouts by mid-March eliminating the June 2 primary contest. Democrats field multiple primary contenders including Ashley WolfTornabane and Dave Dawson, but face steep barriers amid sparse polling and historical GOP dominance, though general election turnout and national headwinds could influence the November outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,182วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Iowa's 4th Congressional District, a conservative stronghold in northwest Iowa previously held by Rep. Randy Feenstra—who opted for the 2026 gubernatorial race—traders heavily favor Republicans at 89% implied probability, reflecting the district's deep-red partisan lean and consolidated GOP primary field. Chris McGowan, Sioux City Chamber president with endorsements from former President Trump and House Majority Whip Tom Emmer, emerged unopposed after rivals like state Rep. Matt Windschitl withdrew in early February due to fundraising shortfalls, with further dropouts by mid-March eliminating the June 2 primary contest. Democrats field multiple primary contenders including Ashley WolfTornabane and Dave Dawson, but face steep barriers amid sparse polling and historical GOP dominance, though general election turnout and national headwinds could influence the November outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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