Iowa's 4th Congressional District remains a longtime Republican stronghold, reflected in the 93.5% consensus for the Republican nominee ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat opened after incumbent Randy Feenstra pursued the governorship instead, and Republican Chris McGowan advanced unopposed through the June 2 primary. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the district as Solid or Safe Republican. Democrat Dave Dawson won a competitive three-candidate primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have held the seat for decades. Trader pricing aligns with historical voting patterns and current race ratings, though shifts in national midterm conditions or candidate-specific developments could still influence the outcome before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIA-04 House Election Winner
IA-04 House Election Winner
$13,018 ปริมาณ
$13,018 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$13,018 ปริมาณ
$13,018 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,146 ปริมาณ
94%
Democratic Party
$6,872 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 4th Congressional District remains a longtime Republican stronghold, reflected in the 93.5% consensus for the Republican nominee ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat opened after incumbent Randy Feenstra pursued the governorship instead, and Republican Chris McGowan advanced unopposed through the June 2 primary. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the district as Solid or Safe Republican. Democrat Dave Dawson won a competitive three-candidate primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have held the seat for decades. Trader pricing aligns with historical voting patterns and current race ratings, though shifts in national midterm conditions or candidate-specific developments could still influence the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,018วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 4th Congressional District remains a longtime Republican stronghold, reflected in the 93.5% consensus for the Republican nominee ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat opened after incumbent Randy Feenstra pursued the governorship instead, and Republican Chris McGowan advanced unopposed through the June 2 primary. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the district as Solid or Safe Republican. Democrat Dave Dawson won a competitive three-candidate primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have held the seat for decades. Trader pricing aligns with historical voting patterns and current race ratings, though shifts in national midterm conditions or candidate-specific developments could still influence the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,018วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's 4th Congressional District remains a longtime Republican stronghold, reflected in the 93.5% consensus for the Republican nominee ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat opened after incumbent Randy Feenstra pursued the governorship instead, and Republican Chris McGowan advanced unopposed through the June 2 primary. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the district as Solid or Safe Republican. Democrat Dave Dawson won a competitive three-candidate primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have held the seat for decades. Trader pricing aligns with historical voting patterns and current race ratings, though shifts in national midterm conditions or candidate-specific developments could still influence the outcome before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย