The Iowa 3rd congressional district race features Republican incumbent Zach Nunn seeking a third term against Democratic state Senator Sarah Trone Garriott in a suburban and southwestern Iowa seat that Trump carried narrowly in 2024 and that both parties have contested closely in recent cycles. Midterm dynamics, with the out-of-power party typically gaining ground, combined with Nunn’s prior narrow margins and mixed early polling, have shaped trader views on the outcome. Trone Garriott cleared a low-key Democratic primary in June, while Nunn faced no serious Republican opposition. Fundraising has been competitive, with outside spending and coordinated efforts tied to the broader Iowa ticket potentially influencing turnout among independents and suburban voters. Scheduled events through November, including any late-cycle polling shifts or national economic signals, remain key variables that could adjust the implied probabilities reflected in current pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIA-03 House Election Winner
IA-03 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
76%
Republican Party
22%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,832 ปริมาณ
76%
Republican Party
$5,689 ปริมาณ
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Iowa 3rd congressional district race features Republican incumbent Zach Nunn seeking a third term against Democratic state Senator Sarah Trone Garriott in a suburban and southwestern Iowa seat that Trump carried narrowly in 2024 and that both parties have contested closely in recent cycles. Midterm dynamics, with the out-of-power party typically gaining ground, combined with Nunn’s prior narrow margins and mixed early polling, have shaped trader views on the outcome. Trone Garriott cleared a low-key Democratic primary in June, while Nunn faced no serious Republican opposition. Fundraising has been competitive, with outside spending and coordinated efforts tied to the broader Iowa ticket potentially influencing turnout among independents and suburban voters. Scheduled events through November, including any late-cycle polling shifts or national economic signals, remain key variables that could adjust the implied probabilities reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,520วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Iowa 3rd congressional district race features Republican incumbent Zach Nunn seeking a third term against Democratic state Senator Sarah Trone Garriott in a suburban and southwestern Iowa seat that Trump carried narrowly in 2024 and that both parties have contested closely in recent cycles. Midterm dynamics, with the out-of-power party typically gaining ground, combined with Nunn’s prior narrow margins and mixed early polling, have shaped trader views on the outcome. Trone Garriott cleared a low-key Democratic primary in June, while Nunn faced no serious Republican opposition. Fundraising has been competitive, with outside spending and coordinated efforts tied to the broader Iowa ticket potentially influencing turnout among independents and suburban voters. Scheduled events through November, including any late-cycle polling shifts or national economic signals, remain key variables that could adjust the implied probabilities reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,520วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...The Iowa 3rd congressional district race features Republican incumbent Zach Nunn seeking a third term against Democratic state Senator Sarah Trone Garriott in a suburban and southwestern Iowa seat that Trump carried narrowly in 2024 and that both parties have contested closely in recent cycles. Midterm dynamics, with the out-of-power party typically gaining ground, combined with Nunn’s prior narrow margins and mixed early polling, have shaped trader views on the outcome. Trone Garriott cleared a low-key Democratic primary in June, while Nunn faced no serious Republican opposition. Fundraising has been competitive, with outside spending and coordinated efforts tied to the broader Iowa ticket potentially influencing turnout among independents and suburban voters. Scheduled events through November, including any late-cycle polling shifts or national economic signals, remain key variables that could adjust the implied probabilities reflected in current pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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