The competitive Iowa 3rd Congressional District race pits Republican incumbent Zach Nunn against Democratic challenger Sarah Trone Garriott, who secured her party's nomination in the June 2 primary. Recent polling, including surveys showing Trone Garriott ahead by double digits in head-to-head matchups, has contributed to trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 68 percent. The district's narrow Republican margin in the prior cycle, combined with strong Democratic fundraising and the swing-district profile encompassing the Des Moines metro area, supports elevated Democratic probabilities in the prediction market. Scheduled general election voting on November 3 leaves room for shifts from campaign developments or broader midterm turnout patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIA-03 House Election Winner
IA-03 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
68%
Republican Party
36%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,049 ปริมาณ
68%
Republican Party
$1,020 ปริมาณ
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The competitive Iowa 3rd Congressional District race pits Republican incumbent Zach Nunn against Democratic challenger Sarah Trone Garriott, who secured her party's nomination in the June 2 primary. Recent polling, including surveys showing Trone Garriott ahead by double digits in head-to-head matchups, has contributed to trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 68 percent. The district's narrow Republican margin in the prior cycle, combined with strong Democratic fundraising and the swing-district profile encompassing the Des Moines metro area, supports elevated Democratic probabilities in the prediction market. Scheduled general election voting on November 3 leaves room for shifts from campaign developments or broader midterm turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,069วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The competitive Iowa 3rd Congressional District race pits Republican incumbent Zach Nunn against Democratic challenger Sarah Trone Garriott, who secured her party's nomination in the June 2 primary. Recent polling, including surveys showing Trone Garriott ahead by double digits in head-to-head matchups, has contributed to trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 68 percent. The district's narrow Republican margin in the prior cycle, combined with strong Democratic fundraising and the swing-district profile encompassing the Des Moines metro area, supports elevated Democratic probabilities in the prediction market. Scheduled general election voting on November 3 leaves room for shifts from campaign developments or broader midterm turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,069วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The competitive Iowa 3rd Congressional District race pits Republican incumbent Zach Nunn against Democratic challenger Sarah Trone Garriott, who secured her party's nomination in the June 2 primary. Recent polling, including surveys showing Trone Garriott ahead by double digits in head-to-head matchups, has contributed to trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 68 percent. The district's narrow Republican margin in the prior cycle, combined with strong Democratic fundraising and the swing-district profile encompassing the Des Moines metro area, supports elevated Democratic probabilities in the prediction market. Scheduled general election voting on November 3 leaves room for shifts from campaign developments or broader midterm turnout patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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