Trader consensus favors Democrats at 66.5% in Iowa's 3rd Congressional District House race, driven by state Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott's emergence as the consolidated Democratic nominee after rivals like Rep. Jennifer Konfrst suspended campaigns and endorsed her in January 2026. Recent FEC reports from April 17 show Trone Garriott outraising incumbent Rep. Zach Nunn, bolstering her challenge in this swing district where Nunn won by four points in 2024. Earlier polls, including November 2025 Change Research surveys, indicated Trone Garriott leading Nunn, aligning with Cook Political Report's shift to Toss-Up status that month amid midterm dynamics typically disadvantaging the president's party. June 2 primaries loom as the next key milestone.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIA-03 House Election Winner
IA-03 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
67%
Republican Party
32%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$420 ปริมาณ
67%
Republican Party
$82 ปริมาณ
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors Democrats at 66.5% in Iowa's 3rd Congressional District House race, driven by state Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott's emergence as the consolidated Democratic nominee after rivals like Rep. Jennifer Konfrst suspended campaigns and endorsed her in January 2026. Recent FEC reports from April 17 show Trone Garriott outraising incumbent Rep. Zach Nunn, bolstering her challenge in this swing district where Nunn won by four points in 2024. Earlier polls, including November 2025 Change Research surveys, indicated Trone Garriott leading Nunn, aligning with Cook Political Report's shift to Toss-Up status that month amid midterm dynamics typically disadvantaging the president's party. June 2 primaries loom as the next key milestone.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$502วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors Democrats at 66.5% in Iowa's 3rd Congressional District House race, driven by state Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott's emergence as the consolidated Democratic nominee after rivals like Rep. Jennifer Konfrst suspended campaigns and endorsed her in January 2026. Recent FEC reports from April 17 show Trone Garriott outraising incumbent Rep. Zach Nunn, bolstering her challenge in this swing district where Nunn won by four points in 2024. Earlier polls, including November 2025 Change Research surveys, indicated Trone Garriott leading Nunn, aligning with Cook Political Report's shift to Toss-Up status that month amid midterm dynamics typically disadvantaging the president's party. June 2 primaries loom as the next key milestone.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$502วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Democrats at 66.5% in Iowa's 3rd Congressional District House race, driven by state Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott's emergence as the consolidated Democratic nominee after rivals like Rep. Jennifer Konfrst suspended campaigns and endorsed her in January 2026. Recent FEC reports from April 17 show Trone Garriott outraising incumbent Rep. Zach Nunn, bolstering her challenge in this swing district where Nunn won by four points in 2024. Earlier polls, including November 2025 Change Research surveys, indicated Trone Garriott leading Nunn, aligning with Cook Political Report's shift to Toss-Up status that month amid midterm dynamics typically disadvantaging the president's party. June 2 primaries loom as the next key milestone.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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