The open seat in Iowa's 2nd Congressional District, created by Rep. Ashley Hinson's (R) September 2025 bid for the U.S. Senate, has elevated Democratic prospects in this R+4 district despite forecasters like Cook Political Report rating it Likely Republican. Trader consensus prices Democrats at 49% implied probability versus 34% for Republicans, diverging from traditional ratings amid national generic congressional ballot polls showing slight Democratic leads. Recent FEC filings through March 31 reveal competitive fundraising ahead of June 2 primaries, with GOP contender Joe Mitchell holding $879,000 cash-on-hand and top Democrat Lindsay James at $434,000. Contested primaries and Iowa's competitive statewide environment, including a Tossup gubernatorial race, sustain the closely contested trader sentiment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIA-02 House Election Winner
IA-02 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
57%
Republican Party
37%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$490 ปริมาณ
57%
Republican Party
$254 ปริมาณ
37%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Iowa's 2nd Congressional District, created by Rep. Ashley Hinson's (R) September 2025 bid for the U.S. Senate, has elevated Democratic prospects in this R+4 district despite forecasters like Cook Political Report rating it Likely Republican. Trader consensus prices Democrats at 49% implied probability versus 34% for Republicans, diverging from traditional ratings amid national generic congressional ballot polls showing slight Democratic leads. Recent FEC filings through March 31 reveal competitive fundraising ahead of June 2 primaries, with GOP contender Joe Mitchell holding $879,000 cash-on-hand and top Democrat Lindsay James at $434,000. Contested primaries and Iowa's competitive statewide environment, including a Tossup gubernatorial race, sustain the closely contested trader sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$744วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Iowa's 2nd Congressional District, created by Rep. Ashley Hinson's (R) September 2025 bid for the U.S. Senate, has elevated Democratic prospects in this R+4 district despite forecasters like Cook Political Report rating it Likely Republican. Trader consensus prices Democrats at 49% implied probability versus 34% for Republicans, diverging from traditional ratings amid national generic congressional ballot polls showing slight Democratic leads. Recent FEC filings through March 31 reveal competitive fundraising ahead of June 2 primaries, with GOP contender Joe Mitchell holding $879,000 cash-on-hand and top Democrat Lindsay James at $434,000. Contested primaries and Iowa's competitive statewide environment, including a Tossup gubernatorial race, sustain the closely contested trader sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$744วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Iowa's 2nd Congressional District, created by Rep. Ashley Hinson's (R) September 2025 bid for the U.S. Senate, has elevated Democratic prospects in this R+4 district despite forecasters like Cook Political Report rating it Likely Republican. Trader consensus prices Democrats at 49% implied probability versus 34% for Republicans, diverging from traditional ratings amid national generic congressional ballot polls showing slight Democratic leads. Recent FEC filings through March 31 reveal competitive fundraising ahead of June 2 primaries, with GOP contender Joe Mitchell holding $879,000 cash-on-hand and top Democrat Lindsay James at $434,000. Contested primaries and Iowa's competitive statewide environment, including a Tossup gubernatorial race, sustain the closely contested trader sentiment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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