The open Iowa 2nd congressional district, vacated by Republican Ashley Hinson’s Senate bid, features Republican nominee Joe Mitchell against Democrat Lindsay James in a race rated Lean or Likely Republican by most forecasters. The district’s Republican tilt, shown by Donald Trump’s roughly 10-point margin in 2024 and the party’s voter registration edge, underpins the 54.5% implied probability for Republicans. Recent summer 2026 polling shows a tight contest, with some surveys placing James within a few points or slightly ahead, aided by Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting, strong fundraising periods, and emphasis on healthcare costs and affordability. Third-party candidates on the ballot introduce additional uncertainty that could influence the final margin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIA-02 House Election Winner
IA-02 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
55%
Democratic Party
46%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$4,387 ปริมาณ
55%
Democratic Party
$4,149 ปริมาณ
46%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open Iowa 2nd congressional district, vacated by Republican Ashley Hinson’s Senate bid, features Republican nominee Joe Mitchell against Democrat Lindsay James in a race rated Lean or Likely Republican by most forecasters. The district’s Republican tilt, shown by Donald Trump’s roughly 10-point margin in 2024 and the party’s voter registration edge, underpins the 54.5% implied probability for Republicans. Recent summer 2026 polling shows a tight contest, with some surveys placing James within a few points or slightly ahead, aided by Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting, strong fundraising periods, and emphasis on healthcare costs and affordability. Third-party candidates on the ballot introduce additional uncertainty that could influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,536วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open Iowa 2nd congressional district, vacated by Republican Ashley Hinson’s Senate bid, features Republican nominee Joe Mitchell against Democrat Lindsay James in a race rated Lean or Likely Republican by most forecasters. The district’s Republican tilt, shown by Donald Trump’s roughly 10-point margin in 2024 and the party’s voter registration edge, underpins the 54.5% implied probability for Republicans. Recent summer 2026 polling shows a tight contest, with some surveys placing James within a few points or slightly ahead, aided by Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting, strong fundraising periods, and emphasis on healthcare costs and affordability. Third-party candidates on the ballot introduce additional uncertainty that could influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,536วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...The open Iowa 2nd congressional district, vacated by Republican Ashley Hinson’s Senate bid, features Republican nominee Joe Mitchell against Democrat Lindsay James in a race rated Lean or Likely Republican by most forecasters. The district’s Republican tilt, shown by Donald Trump’s roughly 10-point margin in 2024 and the party’s voter registration edge, underpins the 54.5% implied probability for Republicans. Recent summer 2026 polling shows a tight contest, with some surveys placing James within a few points or slightly ahead, aided by Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting, strong fundraising periods, and emphasis on healthcare costs and affordability. Third-party candidates on the ballot introduce additional uncertainty that could influence the final margin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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