The Illinois 2nd congressional district’s strong Democratic tilt, rooted in its Chicago south side and suburban composition, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Robin Kelly opted not to seek re-election and instead pursued a Senate bid, opening the seat; Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller secured the March 2026 Democratic primary with roughly 40 percent against a crowded field that included Jesse Jackson Jr. Republican nominee Michael Noack faces the general election on November 3 in a district rated Solid Democratic by major analysts and where the prior Democratic incumbent prevailed by double-digit margins. Trader consensus assigns limited probability to an upset, though late developments such as unusually low Democratic turnout or a national Republican wave could narrow the gap before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIL-02 House Election Winner
IL-02 House Election Winner
$32,134 ปริมาณ
$32,134 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
5%
$32,134 ปริมาณ
$32,134 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$13,630 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$18,505 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 2nd congressional district’s strong Democratic tilt, rooted in its Chicago south side and suburban composition, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Robin Kelly opted not to seek re-election and instead pursued a Senate bid, opening the seat; Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller secured the March 2026 Democratic primary with roughly 40 percent against a crowded field that included Jesse Jackson Jr. Republican nominee Michael Noack faces the general election on November 3 in a district rated Solid Democratic by major analysts and where the prior Democratic incumbent prevailed by double-digit margins. Trader consensus assigns limited probability to an upset, though late developments such as unusually low Democratic turnout or a national Republican wave could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,134วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 2nd congressional district’s strong Democratic tilt, rooted in its Chicago south side and suburban composition, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Robin Kelly opted not to seek re-election and instead pursued a Senate bid, opening the seat; Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller secured the March 2026 Democratic primary with roughly 40 percent against a crowded field that included Jesse Jackson Jr. Republican nominee Michael Noack faces the general election on November 3 in a district rated Solid Democratic by major analysts and where the prior Democratic incumbent prevailed by double-digit margins. Trader consensus assigns limited probability to an upset, though late developments such as unusually low Democratic turnout or a national Republican wave could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,134วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 2nd congressional district’s strong Democratic tilt, rooted in its Chicago south side and suburban composition, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Robin Kelly opted not to seek re-election and instead pursued a Senate bid, opening the seat; Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller secured the March 2026 Democratic primary with roughly 40 percent against a crowded field that included Jesse Jackson Jr. Republican nominee Michael Noack faces the general election on November 3 in a district rated Solid Democratic by major analysts and where the prior Democratic incumbent prevailed by double-digit margins. Trader consensus assigns limited probability to an upset, though late developments such as unusually low Democratic turnout or a national Republican wave could narrow the gap before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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