Republican incumbent Mike Kelly seeks re-election in Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district, a northwestern seat with a Republican partisan voting index around R+11 that has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Kelly, an eight-term representative and Ways and Means Committee member, won his May 19, 2026 primary and holds a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Justin Wagner, an Iraq War veteran and first-time challenger who also advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan analysts rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's voter base, Kelly's incumbency, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus reflected in current odds aligns with this structural positioning, as no major late developments or polling shifts have altered the balance since the primaries.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPA-16 House Election Winner
PA-16 House Election Winner
$20,513 ปริมาณ
$20,513 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
81%
Democratic Party
16%
$20,513 ปริมาณ
$20,513 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$10,391 ปริมาณ
81%
Democratic Party
$10,123 ปริมาณ
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mike Kelly seeks re-election in Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district, a northwestern seat with a Republican partisan voting index around R+11 that has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Kelly, an eight-term representative and Ways and Means Committee member, won his May 19, 2026 primary and holds a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Justin Wagner, an Iraq War veteran and first-time challenger who also advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan analysts rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's voter base, Kelly's incumbency, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus reflected in current odds aligns with this structural positioning, as no major late developments or polling shifts have altered the balance since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,513วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mike Kelly seeks re-election in Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district, a northwestern seat with a Republican partisan voting index around R+11 that has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Kelly, an eight-term representative and Ways and Means Committee member, won his May 19, 2026 primary and holds a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Justin Wagner, an Iraq War veteran and first-time challenger who also advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan analysts rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's voter base, Kelly's incumbency, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus reflected in current odds aligns with this structural positioning, as no major late developments or polling shifts have altered the balance since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,513วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Mike Kelly seeks re-election in Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district, a northwestern seat with a Republican partisan voting index around R+11 that has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Kelly, an eight-term representative and Ways and Means Committee member, won his May 19, 2026 primary and holds a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Justin Wagner, an Iraq War veteran and first-time challenger who also advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan analysts rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's voter base, Kelly's incumbency, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus reflected in current odds aligns with this structural positioning, as no major late developments or polling shifts have altered the balance since the primaries.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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