Incumbent Republican Mike Kelly's dominant position drives trader consensus toward an 83% implied probability for a GOP hold in Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District, bolstered by his unopposed May 19 primary path and massive fundraising edge—$1.17 million cash on hand as of late March versus Democrat Justin Wagner's $13,000 and independent Nick Singelis's zero. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, consistent with Kelly's 2024 landslide and the district's strong GOP lean. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days beyond March 31 finance filings, leaving structural advantages intact ahead of the November 3 general election, though national midterm dynamics or late scandals could shift odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPA-16 House Election Winner
PA-16 House Election Winner
$15,963 ปริมาณ
$15,963 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
13%
$15,963 ปริมาณ
$15,963 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,023 ปริมาณ
83%
Democratic Party
$7,940 ปริมาณ
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Kelly's dominant position drives trader consensus toward an 83% implied probability for a GOP hold in Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District, bolstered by his unopposed May 19 primary path and massive fundraising edge—$1.17 million cash on hand as of late March versus Democrat Justin Wagner's $13,000 and independent Nick Singelis's zero. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, consistent with Kelly's 2024 landslide and the district's strong GOP lean. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days beyond March 31 finance filings, leaving structural advantages intact ahead of the November 3 general election, though national midterm dynamics or late scandals could shift odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,963วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Kelly's dominant position drives trader consensus toward an 83% implied probability for a GOP hold in Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District, bolstered by his unopposed May 19 primary path and massive fundraising edge—$1.17 million cash on hand as of late March versus Democrat Justin Wagner's $13,000 and independent Nick Singelis's zero. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, consistent with Kelly's 2024 landslide and the district's strong GOP lean. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days beyond March 31 finance filings, leaving structural advantages intact ahead of the November 3 general election, though national midterm dynamics or late scandals could shift odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,963วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Kelly's dominant position drives trader consensus toward an 83% implied probability for a GOP hold in Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District, bolstered by his unopposed May 19 primary path and massive fundraising edge—$1.17 million cash on hand as of late March versus Democrat Justin Wagner's $13,000 and independent Nick Singelis's zero. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, consistent with Kelly's 2024 landslide and the district's strong GOP lean. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days beyond March 31 finance filings, leaving structural advantages intact ahead of the November 3 general election, though national midterm dynamics or late scandals could shift odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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