Incumbent Democrat Cory Booker holds a commanding position in the New Jersey Senate race, with trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability reflecting the state's deep Democratic leanings, his strong incumbency advantage from prior victories in 2014 and 2020, and a weak Republican field featuring minor challengers like Robert Lebovics and Justin Murphy following the March 23 filing deadline. No recent polls show competitive positioning, and Booker's active legislative push, including his March "Keep Your Pay Act" tax-cut proposal, bolsters his profile ahead of the June 2 primaries. While a high-profile GOP nominee or national Republican wave could narrow odds, a Democratic scandal or health issue for Booker remains the primary upset scenario in this structurally safe seat for November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNew Jersey Senate Election Winner
New Jersey Senate Election Winner
$16,481 ปริมาณ
$16,481 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
92%
Republican
5%
$16,481 ปริมาณ
$16,481 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$7,991 ปริมาณ
92%
Republican
$8,489 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Cory Booker holds a commanding position in the New Jersey Senate race, with trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability reflecting the state's deep Democratic leanings, his strong incumbency advantage from prior victories in 2014 and 2020, and a weak Republican field featuring minor challengers like Robert Lebovics and Justin Murphy following the March 23 filing deadline. No recent polls show competitive positioning, and Booker's active legislative push, including his March "Keep Your Pay Act" tax-cut proposal, bolsters his profile ahead of the June 2 primaries. While a high-profile GOP nominee or national Republican wave could narrow odds, a Democratic scandal or health issue for Booker remains the primary upset scenario in this structurally safe seat for November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,481วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Cory Booker holds a commanding position in the New Jersey Senate race, with trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability reflecting the state's deep Democratic leanings, his strong incumbency advantage from prior victories in 2014 and 2020, and a weak Republican field featuring minor challengers like Robert Lebovics and Justin Murphy following the March 23 filing deadline. No recent polls show competitive positioning, and Booker's active legislative push, including his March "Keep Your Pay Act" tax-cut proposal, bolsters his profile ahead of the June 2 primaries. While a high-profile GOP nominee or national Republican wave could narrow odds, a Democratic scandal or health issue for Booker remains the primary upset scenario in this structurally safe seat for November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,481วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Cory Booker holds a commanding position in the New Jersey Senate race, with trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability reflecting the state's deep Democratic leanings, his strong incumbency advantage from prior victories in 2014 and 2020, and a weak Republican field featuring minor challengers like Robert Lebovics and Justin Murphy following the March 23 filing deadline. No recent polls show competitive positioning, and Booker's active legislative push, including his March "Keep Your Pay Act" tax-cut proposal, bolsters his profile ahead of the June 2 primaries. While a high-profile GOP nominee or national Republican wave could narrow odds, a Democratic scandal or health issue for Booker remains the primary upset scenario in this structurally safe seat for November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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