Juliana Stratton's commanding 90% trader consensus in the Illinois U.S. Senate race stems from the state's longstanding Democratic lean, where Republicans have not won a Senate seat since 2010, combined with her decisive March 2026 Democratic primary victory over sitting members of Congress and strong backing from Governor JB Pritzker. As lieutenant governor, she benefits from high name recognition, superior fundraising that has more than doubled her Republican opponent's totals, and the open-seat dynamics following Dick Durbin's retirement. Don Tracy secured the GOP nomination but faces structural headwinds typical for Republicans in this battleground-turned-blue state. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts, turnout surges in down-ballot races, or major campaign finance changes could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIllinois Senate Election Winner
Illinois Senate Election Winner
$25,497 ปริมาณ
$25,497 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
90%
Don Tracy (R)
4%
$25,497 ปริมาณ
$25,497 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
$12,850 ปริมาณ
90%
Don Tracy (R)
$12,647 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Juliana Stratton's commanding 90% trader consensus in the Illinois U.S. Senate race stems from the state's longstanding Democratic lean, where Republicans have not won a Senate seat since 2010, combined with her decisive March 2026 Democratic primary victory over sitting members of Congress and strong backing from Governor JB Pritzker. As lieutenant governor, she benefits from high name recognition, superior fundraising that has more than doubled her Republican opponent's totals, and the open-seat dynamics following Dick Durbin's retirement. Don Tracy secured the GOP nomination but faces structural headwinds typical for Republicans in this battleground-turned-blue state. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts, turnout surges in down-ballot races, or major campaign finance changes could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,497วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Juliana Stratton's commanding 90% trader consensus in the Illinois U.S. Senate race stems from the state's longstanding Democratic lean, where Republicans have not won a Senate seat since 2010, combined with her decisive March 2026 Democratic primary victory over sitting members of Congress and strong backing from Governor JB Pritzker. As lieutenant governor, she benefits from high name recognition, superior fundraising that has more than doubled her Republican opponent's totals, and the open-seat dynamics following Dick Durbin's retirement. Don Tracy secured the GOP nomination but faces structural headwinds typical for Republicans in this battleground-turned-blue state. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts, turnout surges in down-ballot races, or major campaign finance changes could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,497วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Juliana Stratton's commanding 90% trader consensus in the Illinois U.S. Senate race stems from the state's longstanding Democratic lean, where Republicans have not won a Senate seat since 2010, combined with her decisive March 2026 Democratic primary victory over sitting members of Congress and strong backing from Governor JB Pritzker. As lieutenant governor, she benefits from high name recognition, superior fundraising that has more than doubled her Republican opponent's totals, and the open-seat dynamics following Dick Durbin's retirement. Don Tracy secured the GOP nomination but faces structural headwinds typical for Republicans in this battleground-turned-blue state. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts, turnout surges in down-ballot races, or major campaign finance changes could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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