Illinois's consistent Democratic preference in U.S. Senate contests since 2010 underpins trader consensus around Juliana Stratton as the strong favorite for the open seat created by Dick Durbin's retirement. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with establishment support from Governor JB Pritzker, defeating better-funded rivals and consolidating party resources ahead of the November general election. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, faces structural headwinds in a state with Democratic advantages in voter registration and turnout patterns. The commanding market position reflects these partisan dynamics and recent primary outcomes, though late developments such as candidate controversies, health events, or significant national political shifts could still alter the trajectory before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIllinois Senate Election Winner
Illinois Senate Election Winner
$25,497 ปริมาณ
$25,497 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
94%
Don Tracy (R)
7%
$25,497 ปริมาณ
$25,497 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
$12,850 ปริมาณ
94%
Don Tracy (R)
$12,647 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's consistent Democratic preference in U.S. Senate contests since 2010 underpins trader consensus around Juliana Stratton as the strong favorite for the open seat created by Dick Durbin's retirement. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with establishment support from Governor JB Pritzker, defeating better-funded rivals and consolidating party resources ahead of the November general election. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, faces structural headwinds in a state with Democratic advantages in voter registration and turnout patterns. The commanding market position reflects these partisan dynamics and recent primary outcomes, though late developments such as candidate controversies, health events, or significant national political shifts could still alter the trajectory before election day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,497วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's consistent Democratic preference in U.S. Senate contests since 2010 underpins trader consensus around Juliana Stratton as the strong favorite for the open seat created by Dick Durbin's retirement. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with establishment support from Governor JB Pritzker, defeating better-funded rivals and consolidating party resources ahead of the November general election. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, faces structural headwinds in a state with Democratic advantages in voter registration and turnout patterns. The commanding market position reflects these partisan dynamics and recent primary outcomes, though late developments such as candidate controversies, health events, or significant national political shifts could still alter the trajectory before election day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,497วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's consistent Democratic preference in U.S. Senate contests since 2010 underpins trader consensus around Juliana Stratton as the strong favorite for the open seat created by Dick Durbin's retirement. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with establishment support from Governor JB Pritzker, defeating better-funded rivals and consolidating party resources ahead of the November general election. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, faces structural headwinds in a state with Democratic advantages in voter registration and turnout patterns. The commanding market position reflects these partisan dynamics and recent primary outcomes, though late developments such as candidate controversies, health events, or significant national political shifts could still alter the trajectory before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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