Democratic nominee Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton holds commanding trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability to win Illinois' open U.S. Senate seat following her March 17 primary victory over a crowded field to succeed retiring Sen. Dick Durbin, solidifying the party's position in this deep-blue state. Recent developments include Gov. JB Pritzker's major cash infusion boosting Stratton's early general election fundraising edge as of April 17, while Republican nominee former state party chair Don Tracy faces structural barriers in a state with no GOP Senate win since 2010 and consistent Democratic double-digit statewide margins. Absent post-primary polls, odds reflect Illinois' reliable partisan lean and weak Republican infrastructure. Realistic challenges include a damaging Stratton scandal, national GOP midterm wave elevating turnout in downstate areas, or late-breaking legal developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIllinois Senate Election Winner
Illinois Senate Election Winner
$21,918 ปริมาณ
$21,918 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
92%
Republican
7%
$21,918 ปริมาณ
$21,918 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$11,225 ปริมาณ
92%
Republican
$10,694 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic nominee Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton holds commanding trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability to win Illinois' open U.S. Senate seat following her March 17 primary victory over a crowded field to succeed retiring Sen. Dick Durbin, solidifying the party's position in this deep-blue state. Recent developments include Gov. JB Pritzker's major cash infusion boosting Stratton's early general election fundraising edge as of April 17, while Republican nominee former state party chair Don Tracy faces structural barriers in a state with no GOP Senate win since 2010 and consistent Democratic double-digit statewide margins. Absent post-primary polls, odds reflect Illinois' reliable partisan lean and weak Republican infrastructure. Realistic challenges include a damaging Stratton scandal, national GOP midterm wave elevating turnout in downstate areas, or late-breaking legal developments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,918วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic nominee Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton holds commanding trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability to win Illinois' open U.S. Senate seat following her March 17 primary victory over a crowded field to succeed retiring Sen. Dick Durbin, solidifying the party's position in this deep-blue state. Recent developments include Gov. JB Pritzker's major cash infusion boosting Stratton's early general election fundraising edge as of April 17, while Republican nominee former state party chair Don Tracy faces structural barriers in a state with no GOP Senate win since 2010 and consistent Democratic double-digit statewide margins. Absent post-primary polls, odds reflect Illinois' reliable partisan lean and weak Republican infrastructure. Realistic challenges include a damaging Stratton scandal, national GOP midterm wave elevating turnout in downstate areas, or late-breaking legal developments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,918วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic nominee Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton holds commanding trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability to win Illinois' open U.S. Senate seat following her March 17 primary victory over a crowded field to succeed retiring Sen. Dick Durbin, solidifying the party's position in this deep-blue state. Recent developments include Gov. JB Pritzker's major cash infusion boosting Stratton's early general election fundraising edge as of April 17, while Republican nominee former state party chair Don Tracy faces structural barriers in a state with no GOP Senate win since 2010 and consistent Democratic double-digit statewide margins. Absent post-primary polls, odds reflect Illinois' reliable partisan lean and weak Republican infrastructure. Realistic challenges include a damaging Stratton scandal, national GOP midterm wave elevating turnout in downstate areas, or late-breaking legal developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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