Chris Smith, the longtime Republican incumbent seeking a 24th term, holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 4th Congressional District due to the area’s consistent Republican voting patterns across Monmouth and Ocean counties and his established record on veterans’ issues, foreign affairs, and human rights legislation. The district supported the Republican presidential nominee by wide margins in recent cycles and is rated solidly Republican by major forecasters. Rachel Peace, who secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary, faces structural disadvantages including limited fundraising and the district’s partisan baseline. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as a national political shift, candidate health events, or unexpected turnout changes could still influence the November 3 general election outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNJ-04 House Election Winner
NJ-04 House Election Winner
$19,214 ปริมาณ
$19,214 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Chris Smith (R)
96%
Rachel Peace (D)
5%
$19,214 ปริมาณ
$19,214 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Chris Smith (R)
$6,168 ปริมาณ
96%
Rachel Peace (D)
$13,046 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chris Smith, the longtime Republican incumbent seeking a 24th term, holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 4th Congressional District due to the area’s consistent Republican voting patterns across Monmouth and Ocean counties and his established record on veterans’ issues, foreign affairs, and human rights legislation. The district supported the Republican presidential nominee by wide margins in recent cycles and is rated solidly Republican by major forecasters. Rachel Peace, who secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary, faces structural disadvantages including limited fundraising and the district’s partisan baseline. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as a national political shift, candidate health events, or unexpected turnout changes could still influence the November 3 general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,214วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chris Smith, the longtime Republican incumbent seeking a 24th term, holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 4th Congressional District due to the area’s consistent Republican voting patterns across Monmouth and Ocean counties and his established record on veterans’ issues, foreign affairs, and human rights legislation. The district supported the Republican presidential nominee by wide margins in recent cycles and is rated solidly Republican by major forecasters. Rachel Peace, who secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary, faces structural disadvantages including limited fundraising and the district’s partisan baseline. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as a national political shift, candidate health events, or unexpected turnout changes could still influence the November 3 general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,214วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Chris Smith, the longtime Republican incumbent seeking a 24th term, holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 4th Congressional District due to the area’s consistent Republican voting patterns across Monmouth and Ocean counties and his established record on veterans’ issues, foreign affairs, and human rights legislation. The district supported the Republican presidential nominee by wide margins in recent cycles and is rated solidly Republican by major forecasters. Rachel Peace, who secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary, faces structural disadvantages including limited fundraising and the district’s partisan baseline. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as a national political shift, candidate health events, or unexpected turnout changes could still influence the November 3 general election outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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