Democrat Herb Conaway, the freshman incumbent who won the seat in 2024 with 53 percent, faces Republican nominee Michael McGuire in the November 3, 2026 general election for New Jersey’s 3rd Congressional District. Conaway ran unopposed in the June 2 Democratic primary, while McGuire secured the Republican nomination over two challengers. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the district as solidly Democratic, reflecting its voter registration edge and recent election margins centered on Burlington County plus portions of Mercer and Monmouth. The current trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of major recent polling or events shifting momentum. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a broad national Republican wave, significant candidate-specific controversies, or unusually strong turnout on issues such as affordability and the district’s military installations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNJ-03 House Election Winner
NJ-03 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$771 ปริมาณ
91%
Republican Party
$1,362 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democrat Herb Conaway, the freshman incumbent who won the seat in 2024 with 53 percent, faces Republican nominee Michael McGuire in the November 3, 2026 general election for New Jersey’s 3rd Congressional District. Conaway ran unopposed in the June 2 Democratic primary, while McGuire secured the Republican nomination over two challengers. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the district as solidly Democratic, reflecting its voter registration edge and recent election margins centered on Burlington County plus portions of Mercer and Monmouth. The current trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of major recent polling or events shifting momentum. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a broad national Republican wave, significant candidate-specific controversies, or unusually strong turnout on issues such as affordability and the district’s military installations.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,133วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democrat Herb Conaway, the freshman incumbent who won the seat in 2024 with 53 percent, faces Republican nominee Michael McGuire in the November 3, 2026 general election for New Jersey’s 3rd Congressional District. Conaway ran unopposed in the June 2 Democratic primary, while McGuire secured the Republican nomination over two challengers. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the district as solidly Democratic, reflecting its voter registration edge and recent election margins centered on Burlington County plus portions of Mercer and Monmouth. The current trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of major recent polling or events shifting momentum. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a broad national Republican wave, significant candidate-specific controversies, or unusually strong turnout on issues such as affordability and the district’s military installations.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,133วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democrat Herb Conaway, the freshman incumbent who won the seat in 2024 with 53 percent, faces Republican nominee Michael McGuire in the November 3, 2026 general election for New Jersey’s 3rd Congressional District. Conaway ran unopposed in the June 2 Democratic primary, while McGuire secured the Republican nomination over two challengers. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the district as solidly Democratic, reflecting its voter registration edge and recent election margins centered on Burlington County plus portions of Mercer and Monmouth. The current trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of major recent polling or events shifting momentum. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a broad national Republican wave, significant candidate-specific controversies, or unusually strong turnout on issues such as affordability and the district’s military installations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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