Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes faces Republican nominee Michael Goldstein and independent Damon Cerreta in Connecticut’s 4th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and Kamala Harris’s 23-point margin in 2024, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. Himes, first elected in 2008, advanced unopposed after the August 11 Democratic primary was canceled, while Goldstein secured the Republican nomination with roughly 74 percent in his primary. Himes maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million compared with Goldstein’s low-six-figure total. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented swing in voter preferences or a major unforeseen event affecting the incumbent.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCT-04 House Election Winner
CT-04 House Election Winner
$47,340 ปริมาณ
$47,340 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
4%
$47,340 ปริมาณ
$47,340 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$21,773 ปริมาณ
96%
Republican Party
$25,567 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes faces Republican nominee Michael Goldstein and independent Damon Cerreta in Connecticut’s 4th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and Kamala Harris’s 23-point margin in 2024, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. Himes, first elected in 2008, advanced unopposed after the August 11 Democratic primary was canceled, while Goldstein secured the Republican nomination with roughly 74 percent in his primary. Himes maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million compared with Goldstein’s low-six-figure total. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented swing in voter preferences or a major unforeseen event affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$47,340วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes faces Republican nominee Michael Goldstein and independent Damon Cerreta in Connecticut’s 4th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and Kamala Harris’s 23-point margin in 2024, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. Himes, first elected in 2008, advanced unopposed after the August 11 Democratic primary was canceled, while Goldstein secured the Republican nomination with roughly 74 percent in his primary. Himes maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million compared with Goldstein’s low-six-figure total. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented swing in voter preferences or a major unforeseen event affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$47,340วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes faces Republican nominee Michael Goldstein and independent Damon Cerreta in Connecticut’s 4th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and Kamala Harris’s 23-point margin in 2024, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. Himes, first elected in 2008, advanced unopposed after the August 11 Democratic primary was canceled, while Goldstein secured the Republican nomination with roughly 74 percent in his primary. Himes maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million compared with Goldstein’s low-six-figure total. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented swing in voter preferences or a major unforeseen event affecting the incumbent.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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