Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 75.5% implied probability to win Florida's 16th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and R+7 Partisan Voting Index, where incumbent Vern Buchanan secured 59.5% in 2024 before announcing his retirement in late January 2026. The open seat has drawn a crowded GOP primary led by Sydney Gruters, a Sarasota political veteran with endorsements from President Trump, Sen. Rick Scott, and recently Manatee County Sheriff Rick Wells, signaling strong party unity and fundraising momentum with over $100,000 raised in her launch hours. Democrats field multiple primary challengers including past nominee Jan Schneider, but lack comparable resources or institutional support in this reliably red battleground spanning Manatee and Sarasota counties. Filing deadline nears April 24 ahead of the August 18 primaries.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFL-16 House Election Winner
FL-16 House Election Winner
$12,292 ปริมาณ
$12,292 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
76%
Democratic Party
21%
$12,292 ปริมาณ
$12,292 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$4,302 ปริมาณ
76%
Democratic Party
$7,990 ปริมาณ
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 75.5% implied probability to win Florida's 16th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and R+7 Partisan Voting Index, where incumbent Vern Buchanan secured 59.5% in 2024 before announcing his retirement in late January 2026. The open seat has drawn a crowded GOP primary led by Sydney Gruters, a Sarasota political veteran with endorsements from President Trump, Sen. Rick Scott, and recently Manatee County Sheriff Rick Wells, signaling strong party unity and fundraising momentum with over $100,000 raised in her launch hours. Democrats field multiple primary challengers including past nominee Jan Schneider, but lack comparable resources or institutional support in this reliably red battleground spanning Manatee and Sarasota counties. Filing deadline nears April 24 ahead of the August 18 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,292วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 75.5% implied probability to win Florida's 16th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and R+7 Partisan Voting Index, where incumbent Vern Buchanan secured 59.5% in 2024 before announcing his retirement in late January 2026. The open seat has drawn a crowded GOP primary led by Sydney Gruters, a Sarasota political veteran with endorsements from President Trump, Sen. Rick Scott, and recently Manatee County Sheriff Rick Wells, signaling strong party unity and fundraising momentum with over $100,000 raised in her launch hours. Democrats field multiple primary challengers including past nominee Jan Schneider, but lack comparable resources or institutional support in this reliably red battleground spanning Manatee and Sarasota counties. Filing deadline nears April 24 ahead of the August 18 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,292วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 75.5% implied probability to win Florida's 16th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and R+7 Partisan Voting Index, where incumbent Vern Buchanan secured 59.5% in 2024 before announcing his retirement in late January 2026. The open seat has drawn a crowded GOP primary led by Sydney Gruters, a Sarasota political veteran with endorsements from President Trump, Sen. Rick Scott, and recently Manatee County Sheriff Rick Wells, signaling strong party unity and fundraising momentum with over $100,000 raised in her launch hours. Democrats field multiple primary challengers including past nominee Jan Schneider, but lack comparable resources or institutional support in this reliably red battleground spanning Manatee and Sarasota counties. Filing deadline nears April 24 ahead of the August 18 primaries.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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