Incumbent Republican Greg Steube's commanding position in Florida's 17th Congressional District, rated R+11 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus toward an 86% implied probability for a Republican victory in the November 3, 2026, general election. Steube, who won reelection in 2024 by nearly 28 points with 63.9% of the vote, maintains a fundraising edge with over $2 million cash on hand as of March 31 filings, dwarfing Democratic primary contenders Matthew Montavon ($40,000) and Allen Spence ($11,000). Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball uniformly rate the seat Safe Republican, reflecting historical incumbency advantages and the district's Gulf Coast conservative lean among transplants. With primaries on August 18, no recent polls or scandals have altered this dynamic, though a weak Democratic nominee could sustain high barriers to an upset.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFL-17 House Election Winner
FL-17 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,947 ปริมาณ
86%
Democratic Party
$1,916 ปริมาณ
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Greg Steube's commanding position in Florida's 17th Congressional District, rated R+11 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus toward an 86% implied probability for a Republican victory in the November 3, 2026, general election. Steube, who won reelection in 2024 by nearly 28 points with 63.9% of the vote, maintains a fundraising edge with over $2 million cash on hand as of March 31 filings, dwarfing Democratic primary contenders Matthew Montavon ($40,000) and Allen Spence ($11,000). Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball uniformly rate the seat Safe Republican, reflecting historical incumbency advantages and the district's Gulf Coast conservative lean among transplants. With primaries on August 18, no recent polls or scandals have altered this dynamic, though a weak Democratic nominee could sustain high barriers to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,863วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Greg Steube's commanding position in Florida's 17th Congressional District, rated R+11 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus toward an 86% implied probability for a Republican victory in the November 3, 2026, general election. Steube, who won reelection in 2024 by nearly 28 points with 63.9% of the vote, maintains a fundraising edge with over $2 million cash on hand as of March 31 filings, dwarfing Democratic primary contenders Matthew Montavon ($40,000) and Allen Spence ($11,000). Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball uniformly rate the seat Safe Republican, reflecting historical incumbency advantages and the district's Gulf Coast conservative lean among transplants. With primaries on August 18, no recent polls or scandals have altered this dynamic, though a weak Democratic nominee could sustain high barriers to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,863วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Greg Steube's commanding position in Florida's 17th Congressional District, rated R+11 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus toward an 86% implied probability for a Republican victory in the November 3, 2026, general election. Steube, who won reelection in 2024 by nearly 28 points with 63.9% of the vote, maintains a fundraising edge with over $2 million cash on hand as of March 31 filings, dwarfing Democratic primary contenders Matthew Montavon ($40,000) and Allen Spence ($11,000). Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball uniformly rate the seat Safe Republican, reflecting historical incumbency advantages and the district's Gulf Coast conservative lean among transplants. With primaries on August 18, no recent polls or scandals have altered this dynamic, though a weak Democratic nominee could sustain high barriers to an upset.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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