Rick Allen’s strong position as the five-term Republican incumbent in Georgia’s 12th Congressional District drives the current market consensus, supported by the area’s consistent Republican lean and Partisan Voter Index rating around R+7. Allen secured his primary nomination with over 83% of the vote in May 2026, while Democrat Ceretta Smith, a former Grovetown city council member and Army veteran, emerged from her June runoff to face him in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic path-to-victory factors such as turnout patterns or shifting voter blocs in the Augusta-to-Statesboro region. No major campaign developments or polling shifts have altered this outlook in recent weeks, aligning trader probabilities with the district’s historical results and structural advantages for the incumbent.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGA-12 House Election Winner
GA-12 House Election Winner
$35,616 ปริมาณ
$35,616 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Rick Allen (R)
90%
Ceretta Smith (D)
10%
$35,616 ปริมาณ
$35,616 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Rick Allen (R)
$19,155 ปริมาณ
90%
Ceretta Smith (D)
$16,461 ปริมาณ
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rick Allen’s strong position as the five-term Republican incumbent in Georgia’s 12th Congressional District drives the current market consensus, supported by the area’s consistent Republican lean and Partisan Voter Index rating around R+7. Allen secured his primary nomination with over 83% of the vote in May 2026, while Democrat Ceretta Smith, a former Grovetown city council member and Army veteran, emerged from her June runoff to face him in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic path-to-victory factors such as turnout patterns or shifting voter blocs in the Augusta-to-Statesboro region. No major campaign developments or polling shifts have altered this outlook in recent weeks, aligning trader probabilities with the district’s historical results and structural advantages for the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$35,616วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rick Allen’s strong position as the five-term Republican incumbent in Georgia’s 12th Congressional District drives the current market consensus, supported by the area’s consistent Republican lean and Partisan Voter Index rating around R+7. Allen secured his primary nomination with over 83% of the vote in May 2026, while Democrat Ceretta Smith, a former Grovetown city council member and Army veteran, emerged from her June runoff to face him in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic path-to-victory factors such as turnout patterns or shifting voter blocs in the Augusta-to-Statesboro region. No major campaign developments or polling shifts have altered this outlook in recent weeks, aligning trader probabilities with the district’s historical results and structural advantages for the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$35,616วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Rick Allen’s strong position as the five-term Republican incumbent in Georgia’s 12th Congressional District drives the current market consensus, supported by the area’s consistent Republican lean and Partisan Voter Index rating around R+7. Allen secured his primary nomination with over 83% of the vote in May 2026, while Democrat Ceretta Smith, a former Grovetown city council member and Army veteran, emerged from her June runoff to face him in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic path-to-victory factors such as turnout patterns or shifting voter blocs in the Augusta-to-Statesboro region. No major campaign developments or polling shifts have altered this outlook in recent weeks, aligning trader probabilities with the district’s historical results and structural advantages for the incumbent.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย