Incumbent Democrat Jim Costa holds a strong position in California's 21st congressional district, a Central Valley seat he has represented since 2005 and won with 52.6% in 2024. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced Costa and Republican challenger Kyle Kirkland to the November general election, with Cook Political Report rating the contest Likely Democrat. Trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats reflects Costa's incumbency, name recognition, and the district's partisan baseline, where Republican performance has remained limited despite occasional close races. Kirkland, a political outsider emphasizing cost-of-living issues, has not generated substantial momentum or polling leads to date. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late-breaking scandals, unexpected health developments affecting the incumbent, or a broad national Republican surge altering turnout patterns in the final months.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-21 House Election Winner
CA-21 House Election Winner
$24,749 ปริมาณ
$24,749 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
9%
$24,749 ปริมาณ
$24,749 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,407 ปริมาณ
92%
Republican Party
$10,342 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Costa holds a strong position in California's 21st congressional district, a Central Valley seat he has represented since 2005 and won with 52.6% in 2024. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced Costa and Republican challenger Kyle Kirkland to the November general election, with Cook Political Report rating the contest Likely Democrat. Trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats reflects Costa's incumbency, name recognition, and the district's partisan baseline, where Republican performance has remained limited despite occasional close races. Kirkland, a political outsider emphasizing cost-of-living issues, has not generated substantial momentum or polling leads to date. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late-breaking scandals, unexpected health developments affecting the incumbent, or a broad national Republican surge altering turnout patterns in the final months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,749วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Costa holds a strong position in California's 21st congressional district, a Central Valley seat he has represented since 2005 and won with 52.6% in 2024. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced Costa and Republican challenger Kyle Kirkland to the November general election, with Cook Political Report rating the contest Likely Democrat. Trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats reflects Costa's incumbency, name recognition, and the district's partisan baseline, where Republican performance has remained limited despite occasional close races. Kirkland, a political outsider emphasizing cost-of-living issues, has not generated substantial momentum or polling leads to date. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late-breaking scandals, unexpected health developments affecting the incumbent, or a broad national Republican surge altering turnout patterns in the final months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,749วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim Costa holds a strong position in California's 21st congressional district, a Central Valley seat he has represented since 2005 and won with 52.6% in 2024. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced Costa and Republican challenger Kyle Kirkland to the November general election, with Cook Political Report rating the contest Likely Democrat. Trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats reflects Costa's incumbency, name recognition, and the district's partisan baseline, where Republican performance has remained limited despite occasional close races. Kirkland, a political outsider emphasizing cost-of-living issues, has not generated substantial momentum or polling leads to date. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late-breaking scandals, unexpected health developments affecting the incumbent, or a broad national Republican surge altering turnout patterns in the final months.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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