Recent polling shows Democratic challenger Randy Villegas holding a modest lead over Republican incumbent David Valadao in California's 22nd congressional district, a seat reshaped by redistricting that added more Democratic-leaning areas in the Central Valley. The June 2026 primary confirmed the general election matchup after Villegas defeated a better-funded moderate Democratic rival. Fundraising reports and campaign momentum favor the Democrat, while Valadao's long-standing moderate positioning has not fully insulated him from broader voter shifts. These developments underpin trader consensus around an 83% implied probability for the Democratic nominee, though the race remains within reach for the incumbent if turnout patterns or late-cycle dynamics favor Republicans.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-22 House Election Winner
CA-22 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
83%
Republican Party
14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,535 ปริมาณ
83%
Republican Party
$5,407 ปริมาณ
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polling shows Democratic challenger Randy Villegas holding a modest lead over Republican incumbent David Valadao in California's 22nd congressional district, a seat reshaped by redistricting that added more Democratic-leaning areas in the Central Valley. The June 2026 primary confirmed the general election matchup after Villegas defeated a better-funded moderate Democratic rival. Fundraising reports and campaign momentum favor the Democrat, while Valadao's long-standing moderate positioning has not fully insulated him from broader voter shifts. These developments underpin trader consensus around an 83% implied probability for the Democratic nominee, though the race remains within reach for the incumbent if turnout patterns or late-cycle dynamics favor Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 25, 2025, 2:23 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,942วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 25, 2025, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polling shows Democratic challenger Randy Villegas holding a modest lead over Republican incumbent David Valadao in California's 22nd congressional district, a seat reshaped by redistricting that added more Democratic-leaning areas in the Central Valley. The June 2026 primary confirmed the general election matchup after Villegas defeated a better-funded moderate Democratic rival. Fundraising reports and campaign momentum favor the Democrat, while Valadao's long-standing moderate positioning has not fully insulated him from broader voter shifts. These developments underpin trader consensus around an 83% implied probability for the Democratic nominee, though the race remains within reach for the incumbent if turnout patterns or late-cycle dynamics favor Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,942วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 25, 2025, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling shows Democratic challenger Randy Villegas holding a modest lead over Republican incumbent David Valadao in California's 22nd congressional district, a seat reshaped by redistricting that added more Democratic-leaning areas in the Central Valley. The June 2026 primary confirmed the general election matchup after Villegas defeated a better-funded moderate Democratic rival. Fundraising reports and campaign momentum favor the Democrat, while Valadao's long-standing moderate positioning has not fully insulated him from broader voter shifts. These developments underpin trader consensus around an 83% implied probability for the Democratic nominee, though the race remains within reach for the incumbent if turnout patterns or late-cycle dynamics favor Republicans.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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