Arizona’s 3rd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage rooted in its partisan voter index and consistent electoral history, including the incumbent’s 2024 general election margin exceeding 44 points. Yassamin Ansari faces a July 21 primary challenge but holds a substantial fundraising lead and institutional support, while Republican contenders remain divided and underfunded ahead of their own primary. These structural factors, combined with limited recent polling shifts or national headwinds, underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic general election victory on November 3. A realistic path to narrowing the gap would require either a Democratic primary upset producing a significantly weaker nominee or an unforeseen national political realignment within the resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAZ-03 House Election Winner
AZ-03 House Election Winner
$11,983 ปริมาณ
$11,983 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$11,983 ปริมาณ
$11,983 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,686 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$4,297 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona’s 3rd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage rooted in its partisan voter index and consistent electoral history, including the incumbent’s 2024 general election margin exceeding 44 points. Yassamin Ansari faces a July 21 primary challenge but holds a substantial fundraising lead and institutional support, while Republican contenders remain divided and underfunded ahead of their own primary. These structural factors, combined with limited recent polling shifts or national headwinds, underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic general election victory on November 3. A realistic path to narrowing the gap would require either a Democratic primary upset producing a significantly weaker nominee or an unforeseen national political realignment within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,983วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona’s 3rd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage rooted in its partisan voter index and consistent electoral history, including the incumbent’s 2024 general election margin exceeding 44 points. Yassamin Ansari faces a July 21 primary challenge but holds a substantial fundraising lead and institutional support, while Republican contenders remain divided and underfunded ahead of their own primary. These structural factors, combined with limited recent polling shifts or national headwinds, underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic general election victory on November 3. A realistic path to narrowing the gap would require either a Democratic primary upset producing a significantly weaker nominee or an unforeseen national political realignment within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,983วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona’s 3rd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage rooted in its partisan voter index and consistent electoral history, including the incumbent’s 2024 general election margin exceeding 44 points. Yassamin Ansari faces a July 21 primary challenge but holds a substantial fundraising lead and institutional support, while Republican contenders remain divided and underfunded ahead of their own primary. These structural factors, combined with limited recent polling shifts or national headwinds, underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic general election victory on November 3. A realistic path to narrowing the gap would require either a Democratic primary upset producing a significantly weaker nominee or an unforeseen national political realignment within the resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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