Arizona's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Yassamin Ansari secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the July 2026 primary and faces only minor general-election challengers, including a Green Party candidate and a No Labels nominee, with no viable Republican on the ballot. The district's urban and majority-Latino demographics in southern and western Phoenix have anchored Democratic performance near 70 percent in the prior cycle. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health event, or unforeseen turnout shift could theoretically narrow the outcome, though structural and candidate factors make such reversals improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAZ-03 House Election Winner
AZ-03 House Election Winner
$52,682 ปริมาณ
$52,682 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
98%
Republican Party
<1%
$52,682 ปริมาณ
$52,682 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$32,763 ปริมาณ
98%
Republican Party
$19,919 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Yassamin Ansari secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the July 2026 primary and faces only minor general-election challengers, including a Green Party candidate and a No Labels nominee, with no viable Republican on the ballot. The district's urban and majority-Latino demographics in southern and western Phoenix have anchored Democratic performance near 70 percent in the prior cycle. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health event, or unforeseen turnout shift could theoretically narrow the outcome, though structural and candidate factors make such reversals improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$52,682วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Yassamin Ansari secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the July 2026 primary and faces only minor general-election challengers, including a Green Party candidate and a No Labels nominee, with no viable Republican on the ballot. The district's urban and majority-Latino demographics in southern and western Phoenix have anchored Democratic performance near 70 percent in the prior cycle. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health event, or unforeseen turnout shift could theoretically narrow the outcome, though structural and candidate factors make such reversals improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$52,682วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Yassamin Ansari secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the July 2026 primary and faces only minor general-election challengers, including a Green Party candidate and a No Labels nominee, with no viable Republican on the ballot. The district's urban and majority-Latino demographics in southern and western Phoenix have anchored Democratic performance near 70 percent in the prior cycle. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health event, or unforeseen turnout shift could theoretically narrow the outcome, though structural and candidate factors make such reversals improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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