Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a clear edge in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District, reflected in the market’s 72% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Recent polling averages show Crane ahead of Democratic challenger Jonathan Nez by roughly seven points, with the latest survey from mid-August placing Crane at 53% to Nez’s 42%. Both candidates advanced unopposed through their July 21 primaries in the rural district that stretches across northeastern Arizona and includes significant Native American populations. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as Likely Republican, consistent with Crane’s 2024 performance and the district’s underlying partisan composition. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, with limited late-cycle developments altering the current trader consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAZ-02 House Election Winner
AZ-02 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
72%
Democratic Party
29%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$1,622 ปริมาณ
72%
Democratic Party
$1,372 ปริมาณ
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a clear edge in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District, reflected in the market’s 72% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Recent polling averages show Crane ahead of Democratic challenger Jonathan Nez by roughly seven points, with the latest survey from mid-August placing Crane at 53% to Nez’s 42%. Both candidates advanced unopposed through their July 21 primaries in the rural district that stretches across northeastern Arizona and includes significant Native American populations. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as Likely Republican, consistent with Crane’s 2024 performance and the district’s underlying partisan composition. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, with limited late-cycle developments altering the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,995วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a clear edge in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District, reflected in the market’s 72% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Recent polling averages show Crane ahead of Democratic challenger Jonathan Nez by roughly seven points, with the latest survey from mid-August placing Crane at 53% to Nez’s 42%. Both candidates advanced unopposed through their July 21 primaries in the rural district that stretches across northeastern Arizona and includes significant Native American populations. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as Likely Republican, consistent with Crane’s 2024 performance and the district’s underlying partisan composition. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, with limited late-cycle developments altering the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,995วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a clear edge in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District, reflected in the market’s 72% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Recent polling averages show Crane ahead of Democratic challenger Jonathan Nez by roughly seven points, with the latest survey from mid-August placing Crane at 53% to Nez’s 42%. Both candidates advanced unopposed through their July 21 primaries in the rural district that stretches across northeastern Arizona and includes significant Native American populations. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as Likely Republican, consistent with Crane’s 2024 performance and the district’s underlying partisan composition. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, with limited late-cycle developments altering the current trader consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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