Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 94.5% to win California's 52nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Rep. Juan Vargas's entrenched position in this D+13 Cook PVI district encompassing San Diego border communities like Chula Vista and National City. Vargas secured 66% in his 2024 reelection amid 57.5% Democratic presidential support, bolstered by superior fundraising ($67,000 cash on hand as of late March versus Republican challenger Jeff Belle's $240). With California's top-two primary set for June 2 and a fellow Democrat also running, historical margins suggest a likely Democratic general election matchup. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days post-filing deadline. Upsets could stem from a Vargas scandal, health issue, or robust national Republican midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-52 House Election Winner
CA-52 House Election Winner
$39,008 ปริมาณ
$39,008 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$39,008 ปริมาณ
$39,008 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$28,679 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$10,328 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-52 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 94.5% to win California's 52nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Rep. Juan Vargas's entrenched position in this D+13 Cook PVI district encompassing San Diego border communities like Chula Vista and National City. Vargas secured 66% in his 2024 reelection amid 57.5% Democratic presidential support, bolstered by superior fundraising ($67,000 cash on hand as of late March versus Republican challenger Jeff Belle's $240). With California's top-two primary set for June 2 and a fellow Democrat also running, historical margins suggest a likely Democratic general election matchup. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days post-filing deadline. Upsets could stem from a Vargas scandal, health issue, or robust national Republican midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-52 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,008วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-52 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 94.5% to win California's 52nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Rep. Juan Vargas's entrenched position in this D+13 Cook PVI district encompassing San Diego border communities like Chula Vista and National City. Vargas secured 66% in his 2024 reelection amid 57.5% Democratic presidential support, bolstered by superior fundraising ($67,000 cash on hand as of late March versus Republican challenger Jeff Belle's $240). With California's top-two primary set for June 2 and a fellow Democrat also running, historical margins suggest a likely Democratic general election matchup. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days post-filing deadline. Upsets could stem from a Vargas scandal, health issue, or robust national Republican midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-52 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,008วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 94.5% to win California's 52nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Rep. Juan Vargas's entrenched position in this D+13 Cook PVI district encompassing San Diego border communities like Chula Vista and National City. Vargas secured 66% in his 2024 reelection amid 57.5% Democratic presidential support, bolstered by superior fundraising ($67,000 cash on hand as of late March versus Republican challenger Jeff Belle's $240). With California's top-two primary set for June 2 and a fellow Democrat also running, historical margins suggest a likely Democratic general election matchup. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days post-filing deadline. Upsets could stem from a Vargas scandal, health issue, or robust national Republican midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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