Incumbent Republican Rep. Derek Schmidt holds a commanding position in the KS-02 House race, driving trader consensus to an 86.5% implied probability for the Republican Party amid the district's R+10 partisan lean and his 57% victory in the 2024 general election. Recent FEC reports through March 31 reveal Schmidt's fundraising dominance, with nearly $1 million raised and $688,000 cash on hand, far outpacing Democratic primary contenders Don Coover ($185,000 cash) and underfunded Braeden Curwick. Universal Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others underscore low upset risk, bolstered by Schmidt's March filing for reelection. The June 1 filing deadline and August 4 primaries loom as potential catalysts, though historical incumbent reelection rates exceed 90% in similar seats.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วKS-02 House Election Winner
KS-02 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$1,679 ปริมาณ
87%
Democratic Party
$3,343 ปริมาณ
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Derek Schmidt holds a commanding position in the KS-02 House race, driving trader consensus to an 86.5% implied probability for the Republican Party amid the district's R+10 partisan lean and his 57% victory in the 2024 general election. Recent FEC reports through March 31 reveal Schmidt's fundraising dominance, with nearly $1 million raised and $688,000 cash on hand, far outpacing Democratic primary contenders Don Coover ($185,000 cash) and underfunded Braeden Curwick. Universal Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others underscore low upset risk, bolstered by Schmidt's March filing for reelection. The June 1 filing deadline and August 4 primaries loom as potential catalysts, though historical incumbent reelection rates exceed 90% in similar seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,022วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Derek Schmidt holds a commanding position in the KS-02 House race, driving trader consensus to an 86.5% implied probability for the Republican Party amid the district's R+10 partisan lean and his 57% victory in the 2024 general election. Recent FEC reports through March 31 reveal Schmidt's fundraising dominance, with nearly $1 million raised and $688,000 cash on hand, far outpacing Democratic primary contenders Don Coover ($185,000 cash) and underfunded Braeden Curwick. Universal Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others underscore low upset risk, bolstered by Schmidt's March filing for reelection. The June 1 filing deadline and August 4 primaries loom as potential catalysts, though historical incumbent reelection rates exceed 90% in similar seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,022วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Derek Schmidt holds a commanding position in the KS-02 House race, driving trader consensus to an 86.5% implied probability for the Republican Party amid the district's R+10 partisan lean and his 57% victory in the 2024 general election. Recent FEC reports through March 31 reveal Schmidt's fundraising dominance, with nearly $1 million raised and $688,000 cash on hand, far outpacing Democratic primary contenders Don Coover ($185,000 cash) and underfunded Braeden Curwick. Universal Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others underscore low upset risk, bolstered by Schmidt's March filing for reelection. The June 1 filing deadline and August 4 primaries loom as potential catalysts, though historical incumbent reelection rates exceed 90% in similar seats.
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