Incumbent Rep. Josh Harder (D) holds a commanding position in California's 9th Congressional District ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, bolstered by the district's enhanced Democratic lean following mid-decade redistricting—Kamala Harris carried it 54%-43% in 2024—despite his narrow 52%-48% reelection win last cycle. Strong fundraising ($3.9 million cash on hand) dwarfs fragmented Republican challengers Khalid Jeffrey Jafri, John McBride, Parminder Singh, and Martin Veprauskas, enabling Harder to likely advance easily. Ratings like The Economist's "Safe D" on May 6 reinforce trader consensus. Upsets would require GOP consolidation behind a top primary finisher, a national Republican midterm wave, or unforeseen scandal affecting Harder before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-09 House Election Winner
CA-09 House Election Winner
$11,756 ปริมาณ
$11,756 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
9%
$11,756 ปริมาณ
$11,756 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$9,166 ปริมาณ
91%
Republican Party
$2,590 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Josh Harder (D) holds a commanding position in California's 9th Congressional District ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, bolstered by the district's enhanced Democratic lean following mid-decade redistricting—Kamala Harris carried it 54%-43% in 2024—despite his narrow 52%-48% reelection win last cycle. Strong fundraising ($3.9 million cash on hand) dwarfs fragmented Republican challengers Khalid Jeffrey Jafri, John McBride, Parminder Singh, and Martin Veprauskas, enabling Harder to likely advance easily. Ratings like The Economist's "Safe D" on May 6 reinforce trader consensus. Upsets would require GOP consolidation behind a top primary finisher, a national Republican midterm wave, or unforeseen scandal affecting Harder before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,756วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Josh Harder (D) holds a commanding position in California's 9th Congressional District ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, bolstered by the district's enhanced Democratic lean following mid-decade redistricting—Kamala Harris carried it 54%-43% in 2024—despite his narrow 52%-48% reelection win last cycle. Strong fundraising ($3.9 million cash on hand) dwarfs fragmented Republican challengers Khalid Jeffrey Jafri, John McBride, Parminder Singh, and Martin Veprauskas, enabling Harder to likely advance easily. Ratings like The Economist's "Safe D" on May 6 reinforce trader consensus. Upsets would require GOP consolidation behind a top primary finisher, a national Republican midterm wave, or unforeseen scandal affecting Harder before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,756วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Josh Harder (D) holds a commanding position in California's 9th Congressional District ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, bolstered by the district's enhanced Democratic lean following mid-decade redistricting—Kamala Harris carried it 54%-43% in 2024—despite his narrow 52%-48% reelection win last cycle. Strong fundraising ($3.9 million cash on hand) dwarfs fragmented Republican challengers Khalid Jeffrey Jafri, John McBride, Parminder Singh, and Martin Veprauskas, enabling Harder to likely advance easily. Ratings like The Economist's "Safe D" on May 6 reinforce trader consensus. Upsets would require GOP consolidation behind a top primary finisher, a national Republican midterm wave, or unforeseen scandal affecting Harder before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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