The strong Republican lean of Kansas's 1st Congressional District, reflected in its R+16 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee. Incumbent Tracey Mann, first elected in 2020 and re-elected with 69.1% in 2024, faces only a limited primary challenge ahead of the August 4 contest, while Democratic candidates have raised far less and operate in a district that has delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and no major shifts in candidate fields or external events altering the baseline since the prior cycle, traders see few realistic paths for a Democratic upset absent an unforeseen development such as a significant scandal or health issue affecting the incumbent.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วKS-01 House Election Winner
KS-01 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$3,284 ปริมาณ
93%
Democratic Party
$2,939 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican lean of Kansas's 1st Congressional District, reflected in its R+16 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee. Incumbent Tracey Mann, first elected in 2020 and re-elected with 69.1% in 2024, faces only a limited primary challenge ahead of the August 4 contest, while Democratic candidates have raised far less and operate in a district that has delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and no major shifts in candidate fields or external events altering the baseline since the prior cycle, traders see few realistic paths for a Democratic upset absent an unforeseen development such as a significant scandal or health issue affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,222วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican lean of Kansas's 1st Congressional District, reflected in its R+16 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee. Incumbent Tracey Mann, first elected in 2020 and re-elected with 69.1% in 2024, faces only a limited primary challenge ahead of the August 4 contest, while Democratic candidates have raised far less and operate in a district that has delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and no major shifts in candidate fields or external events altering the baseline since the prior cycle, traders see few realistic paths for a Democratic upset absent an unforeseen development such as a significant scandal or health issue affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,222วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Republican lean of Kansas's 1st Congressional District, reflected in its R+16 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee. Incumbent Tracey Mann, first elected in 2020 and re-elected with 69.1% in 2024, faces only a limited primary challenge ahead of the August 4 contest, while Democratic candidates have raised far less and operate in a district that has delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and no major shifts in candidate fields or external events altering the baseline since the prior cycle, traders see few realistic paths for a Democratic upset absent an unforeseen development such as a significant scandal or health issue affecting the incumbent.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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