Incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur holds a fundraising edge and name recognition in Ohio’s 9th District, where she narrowly defeated Republican Derek Merrin in 2024 before the lines were redrawn to favor Republicans based on 2024 presidential results. Merrin won the May 2026 GOP primary in the newly configured northwest Ohio seat covering Toledo and surrounding counties. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest as a toss-up or slight lean in either direction, reflecting the district’s competitive nature and Kaptur’s long tenure since 1983. Traders appear to weigh her incumbency and resource advantage against the post-redistricting shift, producing the current implied probability favoring the Democratic nominee.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOH-09 House Election Winner
OH-09 House Election Winner
$30,767 ปริมาณ
$30,767 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
64%
Republican Party
37%
$30,767 ปริมาณ
$30,767 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$4,920 ปริมาณ
64%
Republican Party
$25,847 ปริมาณ
37%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur holds a fundraising edge and name recognition in Ohio’s 9th District, where she narrowly defeated Republican Derek Merrin in 2024 before the lines were redrawn to favor Republicans based on 2024 presidential results. Merrin won the May 2026 GOP primary in the newly configured northwest Ohio seat covering Toledo and surrounding counties. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest as a toss-up or slight lean in either direction, reflecting the district’s competitive nature and Kaptur’s long tenure since 1983. Traders appear to weigh her incumbency and resource advantage against the post-redistricting shift, producing the current implied probability favoring the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,767วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur holds a fundraising edge and name recognition in Ohio’s 9th District, where she narrowly defeated Republican Derek Merrin in 2024 before the lines were redrawn to favor Republicans based on 2024 presidential results. Merrin won the May 2026 GOP primary in the newly configured northwest Ohio seat covering Toledo and surrounding counties. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest as a toss-up or slight lean in either direction, reflecting the district’s competitive nature and Kaptur’s long tenure since 1983. Traders appear to weigh her incumbency and resource advantage against the post-redistricting shift, producing the current implied probability favoring the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,767วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur holds a fundraising edge and name recognition in Ohio’s 9th District, where she narrowly defeated Republican Derek Merrin in 2024 before the lines were redrawn to favor Republicans based on 2024 presidential results. Merrin won the May 2026 GOP primary in the newly configured northwest Ohio seat covering Toledo and surrounding counties. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest as a toss-up or slight lean in either direction, reflecting the district’s competitive nature and Kaptur’s long tenure since 1983. Traders appear to weigh her incumbency and resource advantage against the post-redistricting shift, producing the current implied probability favoring the Democratic nominee.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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