Incumbent Democrat Eric Sorensen, who boosted his margin to 54%-46% in the 2024 general election in this D+3 district, advanced unopposed from the March 17 Democratic primary, solidifying his path against Republican nominee Dillan Vancil, who narrowly won his primary 58%-42%. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely D amid northwest Illinois fundamentals blending rural counties with liberal cities like Rockford and Peoria, where Kamala Harris carried by five points in 2024. Sorensen's $1.2 million cash-on-hand dwarfs Vancil's $14,000 as of March 31, fueling trader consensus at 87.5% for Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election; a GOP upset would require scandals, fundraising surges, or midterm tailwinds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIL-17 House Election Winner
IL-17 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$290 ปริมาณ
88%
Republican Party
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Eric Sorensen, who boosted his margin to 54%-46% in the 2024 general election in this D+3 district, advanced unopposed from the March 17 Democratic primary, solidifying his path against Republican nominee Dillan Vancil, who narrowly won his primary 58%-42%. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely D amid northwest Illinois fundamentals blending rural counties with liberal cities like Rockford and Peoria, where Kamala Harris carried by five points in 2024. Sorensen's $1.2 million cash-on-hand dwarfs Vancil's $14,000 as of March 31, fueling trader consensus at 87.5% for Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election; a GOP upset would require scandals, fundraising surges, or midterm tailwinds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$290วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Eric Sorensen, who boosted his margin to 54%-46% in the 2024 general election in this D+3 district, advanced unopposed from the March 17 Democratic primary, solidifying his path against Republican nominee Dillan Vancil, who narrowly won his primary 58%-42%. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely D amid northwest Illinois fundamentals blending rural counties with liberal cities like Rockford and Peoria, where Kamala Harris carried by five points in 2024. Sorensen's $1.2 million cash-on-hand dwarfs Vancil's $14,000 as of March 31, fueling trader consensus at 87.5% for Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election; a GOP upset would require scandals, fundraising surges, or midterm tailwinds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$290วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Eric Sorensen, who boosted his margin to 54%-46% in the 2024 general election in this D+3 district, advanced unopposed from the March 17 Democratic primary, solidifying his path against Republican nominee Dillan Vancil, who narrowly won his primary 58%-42%. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely D amid northwest Illinois fundamentals blending rural counties with liberal cities like Rockford and Peoria, where Kamala Harris carried by five points in 2024. Sorensen's $1.2 million cash-on-hand dwarfs Vancil's $14,000 as of March 31, fueling trader consensus at 87.5% for Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election; a GOP upset would require scandals, fundraising surges, or midterm tailwinds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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