The heavily Democratic partisan lean of Illinois's 7th congressional district, which favored Kamala Harris by more than 36 points in 2024 and carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+34, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Danny Davis's retirement created an open seat, but the March 2026 Democratic primary produced state Representative La Shawn Ford as the nominee in a crowded field, while Republican Chad Koppie advanced with limited resources or visibility. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical margins exceeding 60 points. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though the district's composition and lack of competitive polling make such shifts improbable before the November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIL-07 House Election Winner
IL-07 House Election Winner
$26,641 ปริมาณ
$26,641 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
1%
$26,641 ปริมาณ
$26,641 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$12,288 ปริมาณ
97%
Republican Party
$14,353 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic partisan lean of Illinois's 7th congressional district, which favored Kamala Harris by more than 36 points in 2024 and carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+34, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Danny Davis's retirement created an open seat, but the March 2026 Democratic primary produced state Representative La Shawn Ford as the nominee in a crowded field, while Republican Chad Koppie advanced with limited resources or visibility. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical margins exceeding 60 points. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though the district's composition and lack of competitive polling make such shifts improbable before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,641วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic partisan lean of Illinois's 7th congressional district, which favored Kamala Harris by more than 36 points in 2024 and carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+34, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Danny Davis's retirement created an open seat, but the March 2026 Democratic primary produced state Representative La Shawn Ford as the nominee in a crowded field, while Republican Chad Koppie advanced with limited resources or visibility. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical margins exceeding 60 points. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though the district's composition and lack of competitive polling make such shifts improbable before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,641วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic partisan lean of Illinois's 7th congressional district, which favored Kamala Harris by more than 36 points in 2024 and carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+34, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Danny Davis's retirement created an open seat, but the March 2026 Democratic primary produced state Representative La Shawn Ford as the nominee in a crowded field, while Republican Chad Koppie advanced with limited resources or visibility. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical margins exceeding 60 points. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though the district's composition and lack of competitive polling make such shifts improbable before the November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย