State Rep. La Shawn Ford's victory in the March 17 Democratic primary for the open IL-07 seat, endorsed by retiring incumbent Danny Davis, has solidified trader consensus on a Democratic hold in this D+34 district, where Democrats have won general elections by 80-99% margins historically. GOP nominee Chad Koppie, who lost 83-17% to Davis in 2024, faces long odds amid the district's urban Chicago base and Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others. No general election polls exist, reflecting low competitiveness. While 93.5% implied probability favors Democrats ahead of the November 3 vote, a major Ford scandal, national Republican wave, or depressed Democratic turnout could challenge this positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIL-07 House Election Winner
IL-07 House Election Winner
$13,031 ปริมาณ
$13,031 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
5%
$13,031 ปริมาณ
$13,031 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,488 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$9,544 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).State Rep. La Shawn Ford's victory in the March 17 Democratic primary for the open IL-07 seat, endorsed by retiring incumbent Danny Davis, has solidified trader consensus on a Democratic hold in this D+34 district, where Democrats have won general elections by 80-99% margins historically. GOP nominee Chad Koppie, who lost 83-17% to Davis in 2024, faces long odds amid the district's urban Chicago base and Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others. No general election polls exist, reflecting low competitiveness. While 93.5% implied probability favors Democrats ahead of the November 3 vote, a major Ford scandal, national Republican wave, or depressed Democratic turnout could challenge this positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,031วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).State Rep. La Shawn Ford's victory in the March 17 Democratic primary for the open IL-07 seat, endorsed by retiring incumbent Danny Davis, has solidified trader consensus on a Democratic hold in this D+34 district, where Democrats have won general elections by 80-99% margins historically. GOP nominee Chad Koppie, who lost 83-17% to Davis in 2024, faces long odds amid the district's urban Chicago base and Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others. No general election polls exist, reflecting low competitiveness. While 93.5% implied probability favors Democrats ahead of the November 3 vote, a major Ford scandal, national Republican wave, or depressed Democratic turnout could challenge this positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,031วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...State Rep. La Shawn Ford's victory in the March 17 Democratic primary for the open IL-07 seat, endorsed by retiring incumbent Danny Davis, has solidified trader consensus on a Democratic hold in this D+34 district, where Democrats have won general elections by 80-99% margins historically. GOP nominee Chad Koppie, who lost 83-17% to Davis in 2024, faces long odds amid the district's urban Chicago base and Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others. No general election polls exist, reflecting low competitiveness. While 93.5% implied probability favors Democrats ahead of the November 3 vote, a major Ford scandal, national Republican wave, or depressed Democratic turnout could challenge this positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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