**Republican incumbent Mike Carey holds a strong position in Ohio’s 15th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflected in the 77% Republican consensus on prediction markets.** The district carries an R+5 partisan voting index and encompasses growing Columbus suburbs, where Carey secured 56.5% in 2024. Recent polling, including an August 2026 Hart Research survey, showed Carey at 41% to Democrat Don Leonard’s 37%, with a Libertarian candidate drawing 10%. Carey’s primary was uncontested after May 5 nominating contests, while Leonard narrowly won the Democratic primary. Fundraising heavily favors the incumbent, who reported over $3.3 million raised compared to Leonard’s roughly $607,000 as of mid-2026. Race raters classify the seat as Likely or Solid Republican, underscoring structural advantages and limited recent shifts that would alter trader assessments of the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOH-15 House Election Winner
OH-15 House Election Winner
$12,632 ปริมาณ
$12,632 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
77%
Democratic Party
21%
$12,632 ปริมาณ
$12,632 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$4,927 ปริมาณ
77%
Democratic Party
$7,705 ปริมาณ
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican incumbent Mike Carey holds a strong position in Ohio’s 15th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflected in the 77% Republican consensus on prediction markets.** The district carries an R+5 partisan voting index and encompasses growing Columbus suburbs, where Carey secured 56.5% in 2024. Recent polling, including an August 2026 Hart Research survey, showed Carey at 41% to Democrat Don Leonard’s 37%, with a Libertarian candidate drawing 10%. Carey’s primary was uncontested after May 5 nominating contests, while Leonard narrowly won the Democratic primary. Fundraising heavily favors the incumbent, who reported over $3.3 million raised compared to Leonard’s roughly $607,000 as of mid-2026. Race raters classify the seat as Likely or Solid Republican, underscoring structural advantages and limited recent shifts that would alter trader assessments of the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,632วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican incumbent Mike Carey holds a strong position in Ohio’s 15th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflected in the 77% Republican consensus on prediction markets.** The district carries an R+5 partisan voting index and encompasses growing Columbus suburbs, where Carey secured 56.5% in 2024. Recent polling, including an August 2026 Hart Research survey, showed Carey at 41% to Democrat Don Leonard’s 37%, with a Libertarian candidate drawing 10%. Carey’s primary was uncontested after May 5 nominating contests, while Leonard narrowly won the Democratic primary. Fundraising heavily favors the incumbent, who reported over $3.3 million raised compared to Leonard’s roughly $607,000 as of mid-2026. Race raters classify the seat as Likely or Solid Republican, underscoring structural advantages and limited recent shifts that would alter trader assessments of the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,632วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican incumbent Mike Carey holds a strong position in Ohio’s 15th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflected in the 77% Republican consensus on prediction markets.** The district carries an R+5 partisan voting index and encompasses growing Columbus suburbs, where Carey secured 56.5% in 2024. Recent polling, including an August 2026 Hart Research survey, showed Carey at 41% to Democrat Don Leonard’s 37%, with a Libertarian candidate drawing 10%. Carey’s primary was uncontested after May 5 nominating contests, while Leonard narrowly won the Democratic primary. Fundraising heavily favors the incumbent, who reported over $3.3 million raised compared to Leonard’s roughly $607,000 as of mid-2026. Race raters classify the seat as Likely or Solid Republican, underscoring structural advantages and limited recent shifts that would alter trader assessments of the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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