Illinois's 15th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+20, reflecting consistent strong Republican performance in presidential and congressional races. Incumbent Republican Mary Miller secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 74 percent of the vote and faces Democrat Jennifer Todd in the November 3 general election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ classify the seat as Safe or Solid Republican. The district's rural and suburban character, limited Democratic infrastructure, and Miller's established incumbency contribute to the wide gap in trader pricing. A realistic shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, candidate withdrawal, or an unusually intense national partisan swing that overcomes the district's structural Republican advantage.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIL-15 House Election Winner
IL-15 House Election Winner
$37,437 ปริมาณ
$37,437 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$37,437 ปริมาณ
$37,437 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$19,364 ปริมาณ
95%
Democratic Party
$18,074 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 15th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+20, reflecting consistent strong Republican performance in presidential and congressional races. Incumbent Republican Mary Miller secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 74 percent of the vote and faces Democrat Jennifer Todd in the November 3 general election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ classify the seat as Safe or Solid Republican. The district's rural and suburban character, limited Democratic infrastructure, and Miller's established incumbency contribute to the wide gap in trader pricing. A realistic shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, candidate withdrawal, or an unusually intense national partisan swing that overcomes the district's structural Republican advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$37,437วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 15th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+20, reflecting consistent strong Republican performance in presidential and congressional races. Incumbent Republican Mary Miller secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 74 percent of the vote and faces Democrat Jennifer Todd in the November 3 general election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ classify the seat as Safe or Solid Republican. The district's rural and suburban character, limited Democratic infrastructure, and Miller's established incumbency contribute to the wide gap in trader pricing. A realistic shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, candidate withdrawal, or an unusually intense national partisan swing that overcomes the district's structural Republican advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$37,437วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's 15th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+20, reflecting consistent strong Republican performance in presidential and congressional races. Incumbent Republican Mary Miller secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 74 percent of the vote and faces Democrat Jennifer Todd in the November 3 general election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ classify the seat as Safe or Solid Republican. The district's rural and suburban character, limited Democratic infrastructure, and Miller's established incumbency contribute to the wide gap in trader pricing. A realistic shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, candidate withdrawal, or an unusually intense national partisan swing that overcomes the district's structural Republican advantage.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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