Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood holds a commanding position in Illinois’s 14th congressional district, reflected in the 95.2% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. The suburban and exurban district northwest of Chicago carries a modest Democratic lean, and Underwood has won reelection multiple times with margins in the double digits, most recently by roughly 10 points in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, and she maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee James Marter. Low recent volatility in the race and the absence of major district-specific developments have kept trader consensus stable. A significant national Republican surge, an unforeseen scandal, or sharp shifts in suburban turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and structural factors make such outcomes improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIL-14 House Election Winner
IL-14 House Election Winner
$16,880 ปริมาณ
$16,880 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$16,880 ปริมาณ
$16,880 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,376 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$11,503 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood holds a commanding position in Illinois’s 14th congressional district, reflected in the 95.2% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. The suburban and exurban district northwest of Chicago carries a modest Democratic lean, and Underwood has won reelection multiple times with margins in the double digits, most recently by roughly 10 points in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, and she maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee James Marter. Low recent volatility in the race and the absence of major district-specific developments have kept trader consensus stable. A significant national Republican surge, an unforeseen scandal, or sharp shifts in suburban turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and structural factors make such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,880วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood holds a commanding position in Illinois’s 14th congressional district, reflected in the 95.2% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. The suburban and exurban district northwest of Chicago carries a modest Democratic lean, and Underwood has won reelection multiple times with margins in the double digits, most recently by roughly 10 points in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, and she maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee James Marter. Low recent volatility in the race and the absence of major district-specific developments have kept trader consensus stable. A significant national Republican surge, an unforeseen scandal, or sharp shifts in suburban turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and structural factors make such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,880วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood holds a commanding position in Illinois’s 14th congressional district, reflected in the 95.2% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. The suburban and exurban district northwest of Chicago carries a modest Democratic lean, and Underwood has won reelection multiple times with margins in the double digits, most recently by roughly 10 points in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, and she maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee James Marter. Low recent volatility in the race and the absence of major district-specific developments have kept trader consensus stable. A significant national Republican surge, an unforeseen scandal, or sharp shifts in suburban turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and structural factors make such outcomes improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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