The Illinois 12th congressional district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for the GOP in recent cycles, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee. Incumbent Representative Mike Bost secured the Republican primary without notable opposition in March 2026, reinforcing his position ahead of the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, aligning with the district's southern Illinois geography and voter patterns that have favored the party by wide margins. Limited Democratic fundraising and recruitment have further solidified this positioning. An unexpected scandal involving the Republican candidate or an extraordinary national political shift could still introduce uncertainty before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIL-12 House Election Winner
IL-12 House Election Winner
$18,276 ปริมาณ
$18,276 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
5%
$18,276 ปริมาณ
$18,276 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$7,809 ปริมาณ
94%
Democratic Party
$10,467 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 12th congressional district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for the GOP in recent cycles, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee. Incumbent Representative Mike Bost secured the Republican primary without notable opposition in March 2026, reinforcing his position ahead of the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, aligning with the district's southern Illinois geography and voter patterns that have favored the party by wide margins. Limited Democratic fundraising and recruitment have further solidified this positioning. An unexpected scandal involving the Republican candidate or an extraordinary national political shift could still introduce uncertainty before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,276วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 12th congressional district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for the GOP in recent cycles, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee. Incumbent Representative Mike Bost secured the Republican primary without notable opposition in March 2026, reinforcing his position ahead of the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, aligning with the district's southern Illinois geography and voter patterns that have favored the party by wide margins. Limited Democratic fundraising and recruitment have further solidified this positioning. An unexpected scandal involving the Republican candidate or an extraordinary national political shift could still introduce uncertainty before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,276วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 12th congressional district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for the GOP in recent cycles, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee. Incumbent Representative Mike Bost secured the Republican primary without notable opposition in March 2026, reinforcing his position ahead of the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, aligning with the district's southern Illinois geography and voter patterns that have favored the party by wide margins. Limited Democratic fundraising and recruitment have further solidified this positioning. An unexpected scandal involving the Republican candidate or an extraordinary national political shift could still introduce uncertainty before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย