Incumbent Republican Rep. Mike Bost's commanding position in Illinois' 12th Congressional District drives trader consensus at 91.5% for a GOP hold, bolstered by his unopposed March 17 primary win and the district's solidly Republican Cook Political Report rating. Southern Illinois' rural, conservative base has delivered Bost large margins in past cycles, including a reported 71-28 victory previously, with uncontested Democratic primary for challenger Julie Fortier signaling limited opposition strength. Absent recent catalysts like polls or scandals in the past 30 days, skin-in-the-game bettors price in incumbency advantages and historical base rates for safe seats ahead of the November 3 general election. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national midterm wave could shift odds, though structural barriers remain high for Democrats.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIL-12 House Election Winner
IL-12 House Election Winner
$10,332 ปริมาณ
$10,332 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
$10,332 ปริมาณ
$10,332 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$5,668 ปริมาณ
92%
Democratic Party
$4,664 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Mike Bost's commanding position in Illinois' 12th Congressional District drives trader consensus at 91.5% for a GOP hold, bolstered by his unopposed March 17 primary win and the district's solidly Republican Cook Political Report rating. Southern Illinois' rural, conservative base has delivered Bost large margins in past cycles, including a reported 71-28 victory previously, with uncontested Democratic primary for challenger Julie Fortier signaling limited opposition strength. Absent recent catalysts like polls or scandals in the past 30 days, skin-in-the-game bettors price in incumbency advantages and historical base rates for safe seats ahead of the November 3 general election. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national midterm wave could shift odds, though structural barriers remain high for Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,332วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Mike Bost's commanding position in Illinois' 12th Congressional District drives trader consensus at 91.5% for a GOP hold, bolstered by his unopposed March 17 primary win and the district's solidly Republican Cook Political Report rating. Southern Illinois' rural, conservative base has delivered Bost large margins in past cycles, including a reported 71-28 victory previously, with uncontested Democratic primary for challenger Julie Fortier signaling limited opposition strength. Absent recent catalysts like polls or scandals in the past 30 days, skin-in-the-game bettors price in incumbency advantages and historical base rates for safe seats ahead of the November 3 general election. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national midterm wave could shift odds, though structural barriers remain high for Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,332วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Mike Bost's commanding position in Illinois' 12th Congressional District drives trader consensus at 91.5% for a GOP hold, bolstered by his unopposed March 17 primary win and the district's solidly Republican Cook Political Report rating. Southern Illinois' rural, conservative base has delivered Bost large margins in past cycles, including a reported 71-28 victory previously, with uncontested Democratic primary for challenger Julie Fortier signaling limited opposition strength. Absent recent catalysts like polls or scandals in the past 30 days, skin-in-the-game bettors price in incumbency advantages and historical base rates for safe seats ahead of the November 3 general election. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national midterm wave could shift odds, though structural barriers remain high for Democrats.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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