Republican incumbent Mike Bost holds a commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race, backed by the seat's R+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and his 74% victory margin in 2024. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Bost advanced unopposed through the March 2026 primary, while Democratic nominee Julie Fortier, a research microbiologist and Air Force veteran with no prior elected experience, faces a steep fundraising disadvantage. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or recent events that would narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election. An upset would require a major scandal affecting Bost, an unexpected Democratic turnout surge across this rural southern Illinois district, or unforeseen late momentum for Fortier.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIL-12 House Election Winner
IL-12 House Election Winner
$25,106 ปริมาณ
$25,106 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
97%
Democratic Party
3%
$25,106 ปริมาณ
$25,106 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$13,994 ปริมาณ
97%
Democratic Party
$11,112 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mike Bost holds a commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race, backed by the seat's R+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and his 74% victory margin in 2024. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Bost advanced unopposed through the March 2026 primary, while Democratic nominee Julie Fortier, a research microbiologist and Air Force veteran with no prior elected experience, faces a steep fundraising disadvantage. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or recent events that would narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election. An upset would require a major scandal affecting Bost, an unexpected Democratic turnout surge across this rural southern Illinois district, or unforeseen late momentum for Fortier.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,106วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mike Bost holds a commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race, backed by the seat's R+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and his 74% victory margin in 2024. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Bost advanced unopposed through the March 2026 primary, while Democratic nominee Julie Fortier, a research microbiologist and Air Force veteran with no prior elected experience, faces a steep fundraising disadvantage. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or recent events that would narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election. An upset would require a major scandal affecting Bost, an unexpected Democratic turnout surge across this rural southern Illinois district, or unforeseen late momentum for Fortier.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,106วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Mike Bost holds a commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race, backed by the seat's R+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and his 74% victory margin in 2024. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Bost advanced unopposed through the March 2026 primary, while Democratic nominee Julie Fortier, a research microbiologist and Air Force veteran with no prior elected experience, faces a steep fundraising disadvantage. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or recent events that would narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election. An upset would require a major scandal affecting Bost, an unexpected Democratic turnout surge across this rural southern Illinois district, or unforeseen late momentum for Fortier.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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